Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 2 under typical late-summer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with Ankara’s continental climate, where August averages reach 31°C, supported by regional high-pressure systems that promote daytime heating without significant Atlantic or Mediterranean moisture influx. Recent short-range updates show minimal model spread, positioning 31°C as the consensus outcome while allowing for slight upward revision if insolation increases or downward if any unexpected boundary-layer mixing occurs. Traders appear to weight these stable synoptic patterns heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–32°C envelope given current observational trends and seasonal baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on August 2?
31°C 49%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 6%
$10,845 Vol.
$10,845 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
21%
31°C
49%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 49%
32°C 27%
30°C 21%
33°C 6%
$10,845 Vol.
$10,845 Vol.
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
21%
31°C
49%
32°C
27%
33°C
6%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like AccuWeather and BBC indicate a daily high of 31–32°C for Ankara on August 2 under typical late-summer conditions, with clear to partly cloudy skies and light easterly winds limiting cloud cover and moisture. This aligns with Ankara’s continental climate, where August averages reach 31°C, supported by regional high-pressure systems that promote daytime heating without significant Atlantic or Mediterranean moisture influx. Recent short-range updates show minimal model spread, positioning 31°C as the consensus outcome while allowing for slight upward revision if insolation increases or downward if any unexpected boundary-layer mixing occurs. Traders appear to weight these stable synoptic patterns heavily, with lower probabilities assigned to extremes outside the 30–32°C envelope given current observational trends and seasonal baselines.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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