Recent July 2026 PPI data, which printed at 4.7% YoY versus 4.9% expectations after June’s 5.5% pace, has created balanced market-implied odds across the 4.2–5.1% range for the August release. Traders weigh the recent disinflation signal—driven by flat final-demand prices and softer goods components—against risks of rebound from energy volatility or persistent services inflation. Core measures and upstream costs remain key swing factors, while the September 10 release timing aligns with broader labor-market and monetary-policy updates that could influence the Fed’s rate path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated5.0% 51%
4.6% 50%
4.7% 50%
4.9% 50%
≤4.2%
7%
4.3%
7%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
50%
4.7%
50%
4.8%
45%
4.9%
50%
5.0%
51%
5.1%+
50%
5.0% 51%
4.6% 50%
4.7% 50%
4.9% 50%
≤4.2%
7%
4.3%
7%
4.4%
7%
4.5%
7%
4.6%
50%
4.7%
50%
4.8%
45%
4.9%
50%
5.0%
51%
5.1%+
50%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 1:56 PM ET
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand over the 12-month period ending in August 2026, before seasonal adjustment, according to the monthly Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) report.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Producer Price Index report released for August 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/ppi/), currently scheduled to be released on September 10, 2026, at 8:30 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly BLS PPI news release, which reports PPI over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 6.0%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. This market resolves on the total PPI for final demand figure, not the core PPI figure excluding food and energy.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next PPI report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolution Source
https://www.bls.gov/ppi/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent July 2026 PPI data, which printed at 4.7% YoY versus 4.9% expectations after June’s 5.5% pace, has created balanced market-implied odds across the 4.2–5.1% range for the August release. Traders weigh the recent disinflation signal—driven by flat final-demand prices and softer goods components—against risks of rebound from energy volatility or persistent services inflation. Core measures and upstream costs remain key swing factors, while the September 10 release timing aligns with broader labor-market and monetary-policy updates that could influence the Fed’s rate path.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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