Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following 2025 HPAI outbreaks, has driven retail prices for a dozen Grade A large eggs down to the $2.14–$2.19 range through mid-2026, aligning with the closely matched leading outcomes of $2.10–$2.20 (31.5%) and $2.20–$2.30 (33.0%). USDA data show strong production rebounds and lower feed costs pressuring wholesale levels, while BLS-tracked averages for June and July confirm the downward trajectory amid 30%+ projected annual declines. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in continued moderation but assigns meaningful probability to modest rebounds from seasonal demand or any renewed volatility, with upcoming August releases and inventory reports serving as key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$2.10–$2.20 29.3%
$2.40–$2.50 24%
$2.00–$2.10 23%
$2.30–$2.40 20%
<$1.80
3%
$1.80–$1.90
3%
$1.90–$2.00
10%
$2.00–$2.10
23%
$2.10–$2.20
29%
$2.20–$2.30
30%
$2.30–$2.40
20%
$2.40–$2.50
24%
$2.50–$2.60
7%
≥$2.60
3%
$2.10–$2.20 29.3%
$2.40–$2.50 24%
$2.00–$2.10 23%
$2.30–$2.40 20%
<$1.80
3%
$1.80–$1.90
3%
$1.90–$2.00
10%
$2.00–$2.10
23%
$2.10–$2.20
29%
$2.20–$2.30
30%
$2.30–$2.40
20%
$2.40–$2.50
24%
$2.50–$2.60
7%
≥$2.60
3%
The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Market Opened: Aug 12, 2026, 10:17 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The St. Louis Fed bases its numbers for egg prices on the BLS's CPI release. The August release is presently scheduled for September 11, 2026. Resolution of this market will take place upon the update of the St. Louis Fed's chart. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.
The resolution source for this market measures prices to the third decimal place. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent supply recovery in the U.S. egg market, following 2025 HPAI outbreaks, has driven retail prices for a dozen Grade A large eggs down to the $2.14–$2.19 range through mid-2026, aligning with the closely matched leading outcomes of $2.10–$2.20 (31.5%) and $2.20–$2.30 (33.0%). USDA data show strong production rebounds and lower feed costs pressuring wholesale levels, while BLS-tracked averages for June and July confirm the downward trajectory amid 30%+ projected annual declines. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, prices in continued moderation but assigns meaningful probability to modest rebounds from seasonal demand or any renewed volatility, with upcoming August releases and inventory reports serving as key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions