Recent June JOLTS data at 7.4 million job openings, little changed from prior levels and slightly below consensus forecasts, anchors trader expectations for July amid a stable but cooling labor market. Persistent moderation in hiring and separations, alongside revisions to May figures near 7.5 million, has kept implied probabilities closely balanced across the 7.1–7.7 million ranges as participants weigh ongoing resilience against signs of softening demand. Broader context includes steady unemployment trends and the Federal Reserve’s focus on inflation and employment balance, with the July release scheduled for September 1 potentially influenced by August payrolls and initial claims data. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning on these near-term catalysts without strong directional conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated7.3M-7.4M 100%
<7.1M 50%
7.1M-7.2M 50%
7.2M-7.3M 50%
<7.1M
50%
7.1M-7.2M
50%
7.2M-7.3M
50%
7.3M-7.4M
50%
7.4M-7.5M
50%
7.5M-7.6M
26%
7.6M-7.7M
50%
7.7M+
50%
7.3M-7.4M 100%
<7.1M 50%
7.1M-7.2M 50%
7.2M-7.3M 50%
<7.1M
50%
7.1M-7.2M
50%
7.2M-7.3M
50%
7.3M-7.4M
50%
7.4M-7.5M
50%
7.5M-7.6M
26%
7.6M-7.7M
50%
7.7M+
50%
This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 6:22 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the bracket containing the seasonally adjusted total number of job openings for the total nonfarm sector in July 2026, as reported in the monthly JOLTS report published by the BLS.
The resolution source for this market will be the BLS Job Openings and Labor Turnover Survey report released for July 2026 (https://www.bls.gov/jlt/), currently scheduled to be released on September 1, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official monthly JOLTS report, which reports job openings in thousands of openings. Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Rounding employed in the headline figure will not impact settlement, where a more precise figure is reported.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the BLS does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next JOLTS report (https://www.bls.gov/schedule/2026/home.htm). If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent June JOLTS data at 7.4 million job openings, little changed from prior levels and slightly below consensus forecasts, anchors trader expectations for July amid a stable but cooling labor market. Persistent moderation in hiring and separations, alongside revisions to May figures near 7.5 million, has kept implied probabilities closely balanced across the 7.1–7.7 million ranges as participants weigh ongoing resilience against signs of softening demand. Broader context includes steady unemployment trends and the Federal Reserve’s focus on inflation and employment balance, with the July release scheduled for September 1 potentially influenced by August payrolls and initial claims data. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning on these near-term catalysts without strong directional conviction.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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