Skip to main content
icon for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
Economy·GDP

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

icon for Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)
Economy·GDP

Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)

Aug 28

Aug 28

0.2-0.3% 66%

0.0-0.1% 18%

0.4-0.5% 12.2%

<0.0% 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,700 Vol.

0.2-0.3% 66%

0.0-0.1% 18%

0.4-0.5% 12.2%

<0.0% 4.5%

Polymarket

$11,700 Vol.

<0.0%

$923 Vol.

5%

0.0-0.1%

$2,517 Vol.

18%

0.2-0.3%

$5,405 Vol.

66%

0.4-0.5%

$1,453 Vol.

12%

0.6-0.7%

$746 Vol.

<1%

0.8%+

$657 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Trader consensus in the Canada GDP June 2026 MoM market heavily favors the 0.2-0.3% outcome at 65.5% implied probability, reflecting preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimates and sector data showing modest expansion consistent with May’s reported 0.3% gain. Recent resilience in wholesale trade, retail, finance and insurance, and oil and gas extraction has supported the rebound in Q2 activity, with early indicators pointing to an approximate 0.8% quarterly advance. This positioning follows a weaker Q1 start marked by inventory and trade distortions, alongside Bank of Canada projections for subdued full-year growth near 1.1%. With the official release scheduled for August 28, markets price in limited upside or downside surprises absent major revisions to the advance figures.

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$11,700
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.Trader consensus in the Canada GDP June 2026 MoM market heavily favors the 0.2-0.3% outcome at 65.5% implied probability, reflecting preliminary Statistics Canada flash estimates and sector data showing modest expansion consistent with May’s reported 0.3% gain. Recent resilience in wholesale trade, retail, finance and insurance, and oil and gas extraction has supported the rebound in Q2 activity, with early indicators pointing to an approximate 0.8% quarterly advance. This positioning follows a weaker Q1 start marked by inventory and trade distortions, alongside Bank of Canada projections for subdued full-year growth near 1.1%. With the official release scheduled for August 28, markets price in limited upside or downside surprises absent major revisions to the advance figures.

This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026.

The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month.

Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.
Volume
$11,700
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 3:22 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to Canada’s gross domestic product growth rate over the one-month period ending June 2026 (Real GDP monthly change, %), as reported by Statistics Canada’s (StatCan) “Gross domestic product by industry” release for June 2026, scheduled for release on August 28, 2026. The GDP release and relevant statistics are expected to be made available here: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/ind1-eng.htm If the specified release is not published, this market will resolve based on the first published figure for the specified month’s GDP growth rate compared to the prior month. If no data for the specified month is released by the date the next month's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available month. Note: the resolution source for this market reports GDP growth rates compared to the prior month to only one decimal point (e.g. 0.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following month or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution. For the full release schedule, see: https://www150.statcan.gc.ca/n1/dai-quo/cal1-eng.htm?sk=3569.

Related

icon for Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

Will Canada’s 2026 inflation be between 2.5% and 2.9%?

39%
icon for Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?

89%
icon for Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?

Will Brazil's Q2 2026 GDP growth rate (QoQ) be between 0.3% and 0.5%?

48%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "0.2-0.3%" at 66%, followed by "0.0-0.1%" at 18%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 66¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)" has generated $11.7K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)" is "0.2-0.3%" at 66%, meaning the market assigns a 66% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "0.0-0.1%" at 18%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Canada GDP: June 2026 (MoM)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.