Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over northern France into August 2, 2026, sustaining a warm air mass with limited cloud cover overnight. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling under clear skies, yet the elevated daytime heat keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, pointing to an overnight low near the seasonal average of 15–16°C. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or influx of cooler maritime air, reducing the chance of sub-15°C readings while making warmer minima (17°C+) less probable given the current thermal profile. Traders have aligned closely with these dynamics, favoring the 15–16°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from Paris-area stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 2?
16°C 51%
15°C 31%
17°C 15%
14°C or below 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
14°C or below
6%
15°C
31%
16°C
51%
17°C
15%
18°C
2%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C or higher
<1%
16°C 51%
15°C 31%
17°C 15%
14°C or below 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
14°C or below
$284 Vol.
6%
15°C
$314 Vol.
31%
16°C
$714 Vol.
51%
17°C
$186 Vol.
15%
18°C
$133 Vol.
2%
19°C
$179 Vol.
1%
20°C
$124 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$109 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
24°C or higher
$133 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over northern France into August 2, 2026, sustaining a warm air mass with limited cloud cover overnight. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling under clear skies, yet the elevated daytime heat keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, pointing to an overnight low near the seasonal average of 15–16°C. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or influx of cooler maritime air, reducing the chance of sub-15°C readings while making warmer minima (17°C+) less probable given the current thermal profile. Traders have aligned closely with these dynamics, favoring the 15–16°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from Paris-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$2,390End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over northern France into August 2, 2026, sustaining a warm air mass with limited cloud cover overnight. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling under clear skies, yet the elevated daytime heat keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, pointing to an overnight low near the seasonal average of 15–16°C. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or influx of cooler maritime air, reducing the chance of sub-15°C readings while making warmer minima (17°C+) less probable given the current thermal profile. Traders have aligned closely with these dynamics, favoring the 15–16°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from Paris-area stations.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,390End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from Météo-France and supporting models indicate persistent high-pressure conditions over northern France into August 2, 2026, sustaining a warm air mass with limited cloud cover overnight. This setup favors moderate radiational cooling under clear skies, yet the elevated daytime heat keeps minimum temperatures from dropping sharply, pointing to an overnight low near the seasonal average of 15–16°C. Recent model consensus shows little change in steering patterns or influx of cooler maritime air, reducing the chance of sub-15°C readings while making warmer minima (17°C+) less probable given the current thermal profile. Traders have aligned closely with these dynamics, favoring the 15–16°C outcomes as the most likely resolution range ahead of final observational data from Paris-area stations.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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