Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate incoming thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 11, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely in the 27–29°C range. This aligns with observed cooling trends, as recent days featured highs near 31–36°C before a frontal system and northerly flow introduced moisture and reduced insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks above 32°C, but the current setup favors moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall. Short-term model updates and surface observations will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on August 11?
29°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 21%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
21%
28°C
22%
29°C
29%
30°C
15%
31°C
6%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
1%
29°C 29%
28°C 22%
27°C 21%
30°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
23°C or below
$302 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,856 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$837 Vol.
2%
26°C
$358 Vol.
8%
27°C
$589 Vol.
21%
28°C
$1,520 Vol.
22%
29°C
$843 Vol.
29%
30°C
$1,081 Vol.
15%
31°C
$846 Vol.
6%
32°C
$425 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$343 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate incoming thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 11, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely in the 27–29°C range. This aligns with observed cooling trends, as recent days featured highs near 31–36°C before a frontal system and northerly flow introduced moisture and reduced insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks above 32°C, but the current setup favors moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall. Short-term model updates and surface observations will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$9,000End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate incoming thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 11, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely in the 27–29°C range. This aligns with observed cooling trends, as recent days featured highs near 31–36°C before a frontal system and northerly flow introduced moisture and reduced insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks above 32°C, but the current setup favors moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall. Short-term model updates and surface observations will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,000End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest numerical weather prediction models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and global ensembles indicate incoming thundery showers and increased cloud cover over Wuhan on August 11, suppressing daytime heating and keeping the maximum temperature most likely in the 27–29°C range. This aligns with observed cooling trends, as recent days featured highs near 31–36°C before a frontal system and northerly flow introduced moisture and reduced insolation. Historical August climatology shows typical peaks above 32°C, but the current setup favors moderation, with resolution hinging on the precise timing and intensity of rainfall. Short-term model updates and surface observations will refine probabilities ahead of market close.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions