Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles currently anchor the 35–36°C outcomes near the top of the implied probabilities for Taipei's August 11 maximum. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar heating, high boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds—favor peak readings in that narrow band, with afternoon convection or thin cloud decks capable of trimming the high by 1°C or allowing an extra degree of warming. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 33°C but with frequent excursions above 35°C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear focused on the next model cycles and any updated surface observations, as small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could readily separate the leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Taipei on August 11?
Highest temperature in Taipei on August 11?
35°C 41%
36°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
3%
33°C
6%
34°C
15%
35°C
41%
36°C
32%
37°C
7%
38°C
1%
39°C or higher
<1%
35°C 41%
36°C 32%
34°C 15%
37°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
29°C or below
$494 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$515 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$844 Vol.
1%
32°C
$236 Vol.
3%
33°C
$489 Vol.
6%
34°C
$1,157 Vol.
15%
35°C
$739 Vol.
41%
36°C
$635 Vol.
32%
37°C
$783 Vol.
7%
38°C
$159 Vol.
1%
39°C or higher
$1,683 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles currently anchor the 35–36°C outcomes near the top of the implied probabilities for Taipei's August 11 maximum. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar heating, high boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds—favor peak readings in that narrow band, with afternoon convection or thin cloud decks capable of trimming the high by 1°C or allowing an extra degree of warming. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 33°C but with frequent excursions above 35°C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear focused on the next model cycles and any updated surface observations, as small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could readily separate the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$7,732End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles currently anchor the 35–36°C outcomes near the top of the implied probabilities for Taipei's August 11 maximum. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar heating, high boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds—favor peak readings in that narrow band, with afternoon convection or thin cloud decks capable of trimming the high by 1°C or allowing an extra degree of warming. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 33°C but with frequent excursions above 35°C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear focused on the next model cycles and any updated surface observations, as small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could readily separate the leading probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,732End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from Taiwan's Central Weather Administration and global ensembles currently anchor the 35–36°C outcomes near the top of the implied probabilities for Taipei's August 11 maximum. Subtropical summer conditions—strong solar heating, high boundary-layer moisture, and light steering winds—favor peak readings in that narrow band, with afternoon convection or thin cloud decks capable of trimming the high by 1°C or allowing an extra degree of warming. Historical August climatology shows daily maxima averaging near 33°C but with frequent excursions above 35°C under similar synoptic patterns. Traders appear focused on the next model cycles and any updated surface observations, as small shifts in timing or coverage of showers could readily separate the leading probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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