**Coastal marine air and forecast cloud cover or light rain are the main factors keeping trader consensus centered on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 11.** Multiple numerical weather models show daytime highs clustered in this narrow band, reflecting the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on a city that rarely exceeds regional inland values. Recent early-August heat across northern Shandong has been tempered along the coast by higher humidity and onshore flow, while expected thunderstorm activity or increased cloudiness on the 11th could further suppress afternoon temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 29–30°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs are being evaluated. With the market showing tight spreads between 29°C and 32°C, traders are weighting the precise timing of any precipitation and the strength of sea-breeze circulation, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in the final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
Highest temperature in Qingdao on August 11?
30°C 37%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
5%
29°C
16%
30°C
37%
31°C
29%
32°C
15%
33°C
4%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
30°C 37%
31°C 29%
29°C 16%
32°C 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
25°C or below
$135 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$130 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$367 Vol.
1%
28°C
$688 Vol.
5%
29°C
$436 Vol.
16%
30°C
$441 Vol.
37%
31°C
$652 Vol.
29%
32°C
$713 Vol.
15%
33°C
$289 Vol.
4%
34°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$194 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine air and forecast cloud cover or light rain are the main factors keeping trader consensus centered on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 11.** Multiple numerical weather models show daytime highs clustered in this narrow band, reflecting the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on a city that rarely exceeds regional inland values. Recent early-August heat across northern Shandong has been tempered along the coast by higher humidity and onshore flow, while expected thunderstorm activity or increased cloudiness on the 11th could further suppress afternoon temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 29–30°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs are being evaluated. With the market showing tight spreads between 29°C and 32°C, traders are weighting the precise timing of any precipitation and the strength of sea-breeze circulation, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ET
Volume
$4,179End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Coastal marine air and forecast cloud cover or light rain are the main factors keeping trader consensus centered on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 11.** Multiple numerical weather models show daytime highs clustered in this narrow band, reflecting the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on a city that rarely exceeds regional inland values. Recent early-August heat across northern Shandong has been tempered along the coast by higher humidity and onshore flow, while expected thunderstorm activity or increased cloudiness on the 11th could further suppress afternoon temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 29–30°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs are being evaluated. With the market showing tight spreads between 29°C and 32°C, traders are weighting the precise timing of any precipitation and the strength of sea-breeze circulation, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in the final forecast updates.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,179End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:08 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/qingdao/ZSQDResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Coastal marine air and forecast cloud cover or light rain are the main factors keeping trader consensus centered on a 30–31°C peak for Qingdao on August 11.** Multiple numerical weather models show daytime highs clustered in this narrow band, reflecting the moderating influence of the Yellow Sea on a city that rarely exceeds regional inland values. Recent early-August heat across northern Shandong has been tempered along the coast by higher humidity and onshore flow, while expected thunderstorm activity or increased cloudiness on the 11th could further suppress afternoon temperatures. Historical August climatology places typical maxima near 29–30°C, providing a baseline against which current model runs are being evaluated. With the market showing tight spreads between 29°C and 32°C, traders are weighting the precise timing of any precipitation and the strength of sea-breeze circulation, both of which can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C in the final forecast updates.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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