Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a warm but not extreme summer pattern over northern France on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely clustering near 32–33 °C under high pressure and light southerly flow. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 31–33 °C while assigning only modest odds to 34 °C or above. These values align with typical early-August climatology for Paris, where daily maxima average 24–26 °C but regularly reach the low 30s during settled anticyclonic periods. No major model shifts or incoming fronts have appeared in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C outcome. Updated official guidance from Météo-France will provide the final measurement for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Paris on August 2?
Highest temperature in Paris on August 2?
32°C 55%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
NEW
$10,031 Vol.
NEW
$10,031 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
1%
29°C
2%
30°C
5%
31°C
22%
32°C
55%
33°C
19%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
<1%
32°C 55%
31°C 22%
33°C 19%
30°C 5%
NEW
$10,031 Vol.
NEW
$10,031 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
28°C or below
$576 Vol.
1%
29°C
$405 Vol.
2%
30°C
$953 Vol.
5%
31°C
$1,781 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1,065 Vol.
55%
33°C
$2,867 Vol.
19%
34°C
$870 Vol.
2%
35°C
$413 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$420 Vol.
<1%
37°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$355 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a warm but not extreme summer pattern over northern France on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely clustering near 32–33 °C under high pressure and light southerly flow. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 31–33 °C while assigning only modest odds to 34 °C or above. These values align with typical early-August climatology for Paris, where daily maxima average 24–26 °C but regularly reach the low 30s during settled anticyclonic periods. No major model shifts or incoming fronts have appeared in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C outcome. Updated official guidance from Météo-France will provide the final measurement for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Volume
$10,031End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a warm but not extreme summer pattern over northern France on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely clustering near 32–33 °C under high pressure and light southerly flow. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 31–33 °C while assigning only modest odds to 34 °C or above. These values align with typical early-August climatology for Paris, where daily maxima average 24–26 °C but regularly reach the low 30s during settled anticyclonic periods. No major model shifts or incoming fronts have appeared in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C outcome. Updated official guidance from Météo-France will provide the final measurement for market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,031End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:02 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from European and global models indicate a warm but not extreme summer pattern over northern France on August 2, with maximum temperatures most likely clustering near 32–33 °C under high pressure and light southerly flow. Ensemble guidance from ECMWF and Météo-France shows limited spread, keeping probabilities highest for 31–33 °C while assigning only modest odds to 34 °C or above. These values align with typical early-August climatology for Paris, where daily maxima average 24–26 °C but regularly reach the low 30s during settled anticyclonic periods. No major model shifts or incoming fronts have appeared in the latest runs, supporting trader consensus around the 32 °C outcome. Updated official guidance from Météo-France will provide the final measurement for market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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