Current forecasts for Lucknow on August 11 point to maximum temperatures of 33–34°C as the most likely range, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and numerical models show light to moderate rainfall potential moderating peaks below seasonal extremes, consistent with August climatology where average highs hover near 33°C. Trader consensus in the 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this consensus, though any break in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could briefly push readings to 35°C before monsoon steering patterns reassert control. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for fine-tuning these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Lucknow on August 11?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on August 11?
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 22%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
7%
33°C
22%
34°C
44%
35°C
26%
36°C
3%
37°C
<1%
38°C or higher
1%
34°C 44%
35°C 26%
33°C 22%
32°C 7%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$1,171 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$349 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$503 Vol.
1%
31°C
$367 Vol.
2%
32°C
$124 Vol.
7%
33°C
$399 Vol.
22%
34°C
$453 Vol.
44%
35°C
$883 Vol.
26%
36°C
$194 Vol.
3%
37°C
$86 Vol.
<1%
38°C or higher
$139 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Lucknow on August 11 point to maximum temperatures of 33–34°C as the most likely range, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and numerical models show light to moderate rainfall potential moderating peaks below seasonal extremes, consistent with August climatology where average highs hover near 33°C. Trader consensus in the 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this consensus, though any break in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could briefly push readings to 35°C before monsoon steering patterns reassert control. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for fine-tuning these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$4,667End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts for Lucknow on August 11 point to maximum temperatures of 33–34°C as the most likely range, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and numerical models show light to moderate rainfall potential moderating peaks below seasonal extremes, consistent with August climatology where average highs hover near 33°C. Trader consensus in the 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this consensus, though any break in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could briefly push readings to 35°C before monsoon steering patterns reassert control. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for fine-tuning these probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,667End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 1:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts for Lucknow on August 11 point to maximum temperatures of 33–34°C as the most likely range, driven by active southwest monsoon conditions featuring widespread cloud cover, high humidity above 75%, and scattered thundershowers that limit daytime heating. Official guidance and numerical models show light to moderate rainfall potential moderating peaks below seasonal extremes, consistent with August climatology where average highs hover near 33°C. Trader consensus in the 33–35°C outcomes aligns with this consensus, though any break in cloudiness or delayed precipitation could briefly push readings to 35°C before monsoon steering patterns reassert control. Updated model runs and IMD briefings over the next 24 hours remain the key variables for fine-tuning these probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions