Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Denver on August 11?
Highest temperature in Denver on August 11?
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 18%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
87°F or below
<1%
88-89°F
2%
90-91°F
2%
92-93°F
11%
94-95°F
17%
96-97°F
51%
98-99°F
18%
100-101°F
3%
102-103°F
<1%
104-105°F
<1%
106°F or higher
<1%
96-97°F 51%
98-99°F 18%
94-95°F 17%
92-93°F 11%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
87°F or below
$12 Vol.
<1%
88-89°F
$10 Vol.
2%
90-91°F
$54 Vol.
2%
92-93°F
$0 Vol.
11%
94-95°F
$0 Vol.
17%
96-97°F
$333 Vol.
51%
98-99°F
$0 Vol.
18%
100-101°F
$0 Vol.
3%
102-103°F
$92 Vol.
<1%
104-105°F
$205 Vol.
<1%
106°F or higher
$205 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ET
Volume
$910End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Buckley Space Force Base Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Buckley Space Force Base Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKF.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$910End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:05 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/co/aurora/KBKFResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service and AccuWeather model runs position Denver's August 11 high near 93–97 °F, aligning with the market's leading 96–97 °F bin at 40.5 % implied probability. Denver's mile-high elevation and typically dry August air mass moderate peak readings relative to lower-elevation Plains sites, while southwesterly flow and residual wildfire smoke may slightly suppress insolation. A modest cooling trend after recent 100 °F+ readings further supports the mid-90s cluster, though ensemble spread leaves room for 98–99 °F outcomes at 20 %. Updated model guidance and official NWS briefings ahead of the 11th will be the key near-term catalysts for any probability shifts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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