Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, likely reaching 34–35°C on August 11 amid the ongoing rainy season, with model consensus supporting this range over cooler baselines. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover potential and regional humidity levels, support warmer outcomes, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (32.5%) and 35°C (29.0%). Variability stems from daily precipitation timing and steering influences on local temperatures, with official monitoring from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Panama providing key resolution data. Limited historical extremes above 36°C in August keep higher outcomes at low probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Panama City on August 11?
Highest temperature in Panama City on August 11?
34°C 52%
35°C 24%
33°C 18%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
4%
33°C
18%
34°C
52%
35°C
24%
36°C
5%
37°C
1%
38°C or higher
<1%
34°C 52%
35°C 24%
33°C 18%
36°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
28°C or below
$5 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$5 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$59 Vol.
1%
32°C
$14 Vol.
4%
33°C
$134 Vol.
18%
34°C
$208 Vol.
52%
35°C
$170 Vol.
24%
36°C
$5 Vol.
5%
37°C
$85 Vol.
1%
38°C or higher
$5 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, likely reaching 34–35°C on August 11 amid the ongoing rainy season, with model consensus supporting this range over cooler baselines. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover potential and regional humidity levels, support warmer outcomes, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (32.5%) and 35°C (29.0%). Variability stems from daily precipitation timing and steering influences on local temperatures, with official monitoring from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Panama providing key resolution data. Limited historical extremes above 36°C in August keep higher outcomes at low probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Volume
$461End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, likely reaching 34–35°C on August 11 amid the ongoing rainy season, with model consensus supporting this range over cooler baselines. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover potential and regional humidity levels, support warmer outcomes, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (32.5%) and 35°C (29.0%). Variability stems from daily precipitation timing and steering influences on local temperatures, with official monitoring from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Panama providing key resolution data. Limited historical extremes above 36°C in August keep higher outcomes at low probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$461End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 9:06 PM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies indicate peak daytime highs in Panama City, Panama, likely reaching 34–35°C on August 11 amid the ongoing rainy season, with model consensus supporting this range over cooler baselines. Typical August conditions feature average highs near 29–30°C, but current atmospheric patterns, including reduced cloud cover potential and regional humidity levels, support warmer outcomes, explaining why trader-implied probabilities cluster tightly around 34°C (32.5%) and 35°C (29.0%). Variability stems from daily precipitation timing and steering influences on local temperatures, with official monitoring from sources like the National Meteorological Service of Panama providing key resolution data. Limited historical extremes above 36°C in August keep higher outcomes at low probabilities.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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