Skip to main content
icon for Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?

icon for Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?

Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

80-81°F 53%

78-79°F 29%

82-83°F 19%

77°F or below 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$42,546 Vol.

80-81°F 53%

78-79°F 29%

82-83°F 19%

77°F or below 2%

Polymarket
NEW

$42,546 Vol.

77°F or below

$7,198 Vol.

2%

78-79°F

$8,863 Vol.

29%

80-81°F

$6,686 Vol.

53%

82-83°F

$10,045 Vol.

19%

84-85°F

$2,694 Vol.

1%

86-87°F

$2,203 Vol.

<1%

88-89°F

$2,498 Vol.

<1%

90-91°F

$974 Vol.

<1%

92-93°F

$297 Vol.

<1%

94-95°F

$282 Vol.

<1%

96°F or higher

$807 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on August 1, 2026, center on a high near 82°F amid typical summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that often caps coastal peaks below inland values. This aligns with climatological August averages of 83–85°F while recent model consensus from NOAA shows limited warming potential from current atmospheric patterns. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F range reflects these guidance runs and the narrow window for exceeding 83°F without stronger offshore winds or clear-sky intensification. Higher bins remain discounted given historical rarity of extreme August spikes without preceding heat dome setup, with resolution hinging on official Los Angeles station readings at peak afternoon hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,546
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles on August 1, 2026, center on a high near 82°F amid typical summer marine layer influence and onshore flow that often caps coastal peaks below inland values. This aligns with climatological August averages of 83–85°F while recent model consensus from NOAA shows limited warming potential from current atmospheric patterns. Trader emphasis on the 80–81°F range reflects these guidance runs and the narrow window for exceeding 83°F without stronger offshore winds or clear-sky intensification. Higher bins remain discounted given historical rarity of extreme August spikes without preceding heat dome setup, with resolution hinging on official Los Angeles station readings at peak afternoon hours.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.

To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.

This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$42,546
End Date
Aug 1, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Los Angeles International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.

Related

icon for Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?

Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 31?

100%
icon for Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on August 1?

45%
icon for Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?

Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on August 1?

42%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "80-81°F" at 53%, followed by "78-79°F" at 29%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?" has generated $42.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 30, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?" is "80-81°F" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "78-79°F" at 29%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Los Angeles on August 1?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.