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icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

icon for Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

Jul 31

Aug 1

Aug 2

Aug 3

27°C 35%

28°C 32%

26°C 21%

29°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$21,986 Vol.

27°C 35%

28°C 32%

26°C 21%

29°C 9%

Polymarket
NEW

$21,986 Vol.

21°C or below

$394 Vol.

<1%

22°C

$562 Vol.

<1%

23°C

$643 Vol.

<1%

24°C

$1,027 Vol.

<1%

25°C

$2,714 Vol.

2%

26°C

$4,576 Vol.

21%

27°C

$3,180 Vol.

35%

28°C

$2,946 Vol.

32%

29°C

$1,591 Vol.

9%

30°C

$2,172 Vol.

2%

31°C or higher

$2,181 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and thunderstorms tied to a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 2, 2026, keeping trader focus on the 26–28°C outcomes amid widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 24–29°C under moderate southeasterly flow, well below the seasonal August climatological average high near 31–32°C. While the agency’s August–October outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, near-term meteorological conditions dominate market pricing, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum; any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus currently favors continued instability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,986
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Persistent showers and thunderstorms tied to a broad trough of low pressure over the South China Sea are suppressing maximum temperatures in Hong Kong on August 2, 2026, keeping trader focus on the 26–28°C outcomes amid widespread cloud cover that limits solar heating and promotes evaporative cooling. Official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate a daytime range of roughly 24–29°C under moderate southeasterly flow, well below the seasonal August climatological average high near 31–32°C. While the agency’s August–October outlook calls for normal to above-normal temperatures overall, near-term meteorological conditions dominate market pricing, with resolution hinging on the verified daily maximum; any unexpected clearing could briefly push readings higher, though model consensus currently favors continued instability.

This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.

The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm

This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.

The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$21,986
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "27°C" at 35%, followed by "28°C" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?" has generated $22K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 31, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?" is "27°C" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "28°C" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Highest temperature in Hong Kong on August 2?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.