Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between the 26 °C (35.5 %) and 27 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the strength of a weak Atlantic ridge, which could add or subtract 1 °C depending on whether daytime insolation peaks under clearer skies. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit rapid warming, while light westerly flow may enhance or suppress the diurnal rise. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 1 will likely narrow this 1 °C window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
Highest temperature in Amsterdam on August 2?
27°C 39%
26°C 36%
25°C 15%
28°C 9%
NEW
$10,080 Vol.
NEW
$10,080 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
4%
25°C
15%
26°C
36%
27°C
39%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
1%
31°C or higher
<1%
27°C 39%
26°C 36%
25°C 15%
28°C 9%
NEW
$10,080 Vol.
NEW
$10,080 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
21°C or below
$447 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$518 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$663 Vol.
1%
24°C
$679 Vol.
4%
25°C
$1,517 Vol.
15%
26°C
$1,179 Vol.
36%
27°C
$1,042 Vol.
39%
28°C
$2,401 Vol.
9%
29°C
$611 Vol.
1%
30°C
$540 Vol.
1%
31°C or higher
$483 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between the 26 °C (35.5 %) and 27 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the strength of a weak Atlantic ridge, which could add or subtract 1 °C depending on whether daytime insolation peaks under clearer skies. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit rapid warming, while light westerly flow may enhance or suppress the diurnal rise. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 1 will likely narrow this 1 °C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,080End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between the 26 °C (35.5 %) and 27 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the strength of a weak Atlantic ridge, which could add or subtract 1 °C depending on whether daytime insolation peaks under clearer skies. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit rapid warming, while light westerly flow may enhance or suppress the diurnal rise. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 1 will likely narrow this 1 °C window before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Amsterdam Airport Schiphol Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,080End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nl/schiphol/EHAMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from agencies including the Met Office and BBC place Amsterdam’s August 2 maximum near 24–26 °C, aligning with the market’s tight clustering between the 26 °C (35.5 %) and 27 °C (38.5 %) outcomes. Short-range ensemble models show modest spread driven by uncertainty in boundary-layer mixing and the strength of a weak Atlantic ridge, which could add or subtract 1 °C depending on whether daytime insolation peaks under clearer skies. North Sea sea-surface temperatures near climatological norms limit rapid warming, while light westerly flow may enhance or suppress the diurnal rise. Fresh model runs and observational updates through the evening of August 1 will likely narrow this 1 °C window before resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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