Senator Ted Cruz maintains a steady X posting cadence driven by routine Senate Judiciary work, bill sponsorships, and podcast promotions, which has produced the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 80-139 posts for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments include his August 6 introduction of the Right to Worship Act alongside bipartisan cosponsors and chairing hearings on the Muslim Brotherhood network, both generating multiple updates and clips. These patterns, combined with responses to ongoing policy debates, support the current implied probabilities while leaving room for separation if major floor votes, breaking security news, or extended Senate recesses shift his output higher or lower than the observed baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTed Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Ted Cruz # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
100-119 25%
80-99 23%
120-139 19%
60-79 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<20
1%
20-39
5%
40-59
5%
60-79
15%
80-99
23%
100-119
25%
120-139
19%
140-159
9%
160-179
6%
180-199
5%
200+
3%
100-119 25%
80-99 23%
120-139 19%
60-79 15%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<20
$240 Vol.
1%
20-39
$12 Vol.
5%
40-59
$12 Vol.
5%
60-79
$0 Vol.
15%
80-99
$0 Vol.
23%
100-119
$0 Vol.
25%
120-139
$0 Vol.
19%
140-159
$0 Vol.
9%
160-179
$0 Vol.
6%
180-199
$0 Vol.
5%
200+
$40 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Senator Ted Cruz maintains a steady X posting cadence driven by routine Senate Judiciary work, bill sponsorships, and podcast promotions, which has produced the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 80-139 posts for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments include his August 6 introduction of the Right to Worship Act alongside bipartisan cosponsors and chairing hearings on the Muslim Brotherhood network, both generating multiple updates and clips. These patterns, combined with responses to ongoing policy debates, support the current implied probabilities while leaving room for separation if major floor votes, breaking security news, or extended Senate recesses shift his output higher or lower than the observed baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$304End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Senator Ted Cruz maintains a steady X posting cadence driven by routine Senate Judiciary work, bill sponsorships, and podcast promotions, which has produced the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 80-139 posts for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments include his August 6 introduction of the Right to Worship Act alongside bipartisan cosponsors and chairing hearings on the Muslim Brotherhood network, both generating multiple updates and clips. These patterns, combined with responses to ongoing policy debates, support the current implied probabilities while leaving room for separation if major floor votes, breaking security news, or extended Senate recesses shift his output higher or lower than the observed baseline.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Ted Cruz (@tedcruz), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$304End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/tedcruzResolver
0x69c47De9D...Senator Ted Cruz maintains a steady X posting cadence driven by routine Senate Judiciary work, bill sponsorships, and podcast promotions, which has produced the tight clustering of trader probabilities around 80-139 posts for the August 11-18 window. Recent developments include his August 6 introduction of the Right to Worship Act alongside bipartisan cosponsors and chairing hearings on the Muslim Brotherhood network, both generating multiple updates and clips. These patterns, combined with responses to ongoing policy debates, support the current implied probabilities while leaving room for separation if major floor votes, breaking security news, or extended Senate recesses shift his output higher or lower than the observed baseline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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