The account @khamenei_ir, the primary platform for statements from Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains a low and irregular posting cadence, typically limited to a few religious, resistance-themed, or commemorative messages per week rather than daily updates. Recent activity has centered on Arbaeen-related content in early August 2026, with clusters of reposted historical quotes and limited original statements tied to ongoing regional tensions. No major scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or escalation signals fall within the August 11–18 window that would prompt elevated output. Trader consensus on sub-5 posts reflects this baseline pattern of sporadic institutional messaging, while higher brackets price in only low-probability spikes from unforeseen crises or leadership announcements. Resolution hinges strictly on verifiable posts from the verified handle during the defined ET period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKhamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
Khamenei # posts August 11 - August 18, 2026?
<5 56%
5-9 26%
10-14 14%
15-19 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<5
56%
5-9
26%
10-14
14%
15-19
6%
20-24
4%
25-29
4%
30-34
5%
35-39
1%
40-44
1%
45-49
1%
50-54
1%
55-59
1%
60+
1%
<5 56%
5-9 26%
10-14 14%
15-19 6%
NEW
NEW
Aug 18, 2026
<5
$394 Vol.
56%
5-9
$0 Vol.
26%
10-14
$0 Vol.
14%
15-19
$0 Vol.
6%
20-24
$10 Vol.
4%
25-29
$70 Vol.
4%
30-34
$10 Vol.
5%
35-39
$22 Vol.
1%
40-44
$22 Vol.
1%
45-49
$24 Vol.
1%
50-54
$12 Vol.
1%
55-59
$17 Vol.
1%
60+
$20 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, the primary platform for statements from Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains a low and irregular posting cadence, typically limited to a few religious, resistance-themed, or commemorative messages per week rather than daily updates. Recent activity has centered on Arbaeen-related content in early August 2026, with clusters of reposted historical quotes and limited original statements tied to ongoing regional tensions. No major scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or escalation signals fall within the August 11–18 window that would prompt elevated output. Trader consensus on sub-5 posts reflects this baseline pattern of sporadic institutional messaging, while higher brackets price in only low-probability spikes from unforeseen crises or leadership announcements. Resolution hinges strictly on verifiable posts from the verified handle during the defined ET period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Volume
$601End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.The account @khamenei_ir, the primary platform for statements from Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains a low and irregular posting cadence, typically limited to a few religious, resistance-themed, or commemorative messages per week rather than daily updates. Recent activity has centered on Arbaeen-related content in early August 2026, with clusters of reposted historical quotes and limited original statements tied to ongoing regional tensions. No major scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or escalation signals fall within the August 11–18 window that would prompt elevated output. Trader consensus on sub-5 posts reflects this baseline pattern of sporadic institutional messaging, while higher brackets price in only low-probability spikes from unforeseen crises or leadership announcements. Resolution hinges strictly on verifiable posts from the verified handle during the defined ET period.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Khamenei (@khamenei_ir), posts on X between August 11, 12:00 PM ET and August 18, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$601End Date
Aug 18, 2026Market Opened
Aug 8, 2026, 12:00 AM ETResolution Source
https://x.com/khamenei_irResolver
0x69c47De9D...The account @khamenei_ir, the primary platform for statements from Iran's Supreme Leader, maintains a low and irregular posting cadence, typically limited to a few religious, resistance-themed, or commemorative messages per week rather than daily updates. Recent activity has centered on Arbaeen-related content in early August 2026, with clusters of reposted historical quotes and limited original statements tied to ongoing regional tensions. No major scheduled events, diplomatic developments, or escalation signals fall within the August 11–18 window that would prompt elevated output. Trader consensus on sub-5 posts reflects this baseline pattern of sporadic institutional messaging, while higher brackets price in only low-probability spikes from unforeseen crises or leadership announcements. Resolution hinges strictly on verifiable posts from the verified handle during the defined ET period.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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