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icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

icon for Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?

120-139 18%

100-119 16%

80-99 14%

140-159 14%

Polymarket
NEW

120-139 18%

100-119 16%

80-99 14%

140-159 14%

Polymarket
NEW

<20

$10 Vol.

3%

20-39

$1 Vol.

4%

40-59

$0 Vol.

5%

60-79

$0 Vol.

5%

80-99

$0 Vol.

14%

100-119

$0 Vol.

16%

120-139

$0 Vol.

18%

140-159

$13 Vol.

14%

160-179

$16 Vol.

11%

180-199

$0 Vol.

9%

200+

$180 Vol.

13%

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity during the August 4-11 window reflects his established pattern of high-volume posting tied to the daily news cycle, official schedule, and personal commentary as president. Trader consensus centers on mid-range totals near 100-160 posts because recent weeks show consistent output during executive time and travel, with the August 5 Las Vegas remarks likely to prompt additional updates. Close clustering across adjacent bins stems from uncertainty over how campaign-season developments, press interactions, or quiet periods at Bedminster or the White House will influence volume, as small shifts in breaking events can add or subtract dozens of posts without altering the overall trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$220
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trump's Truth Social activity during the August 4-11 window reflects his established pattern of high-volume posting tied to the daily news cycle, official schedule, and personal commentary as president. Trader consensus centers on mid-range totals near 100-160 posts because recent weeks show consistent output during executive time and travel, with the August 5 Las Vegas remarks likely to prompt additional updates. Close clustering across adjacent bins stems from uncertainty over how campaign-season developments, press interactions, or quiet periods at Bedminster or the White House will influence volume, as small shifts in breaking events can add or subtract dozens of posts without altering the overall trajectory.

This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.

For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.

Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.

Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).

The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$220
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between August 4, 12:00 PM ET and August 11, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "120-139" at 18%, followed by "100-119" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 18¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 1, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" is "120-139" at 18%, meaning the market assigns a 18% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "100-119" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Donald Trump # Truth Social posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.