Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to over 200 White House posts in the August 4-11 window, consistent with typical weekly output during periods of active executive communications and policy rollouts. Closely matched odds across the 160-199 ranges reflect uncertainty over fluctuations driven by the administration's schedule, including official statements on legislation, agency actions, and diplomatic developments. Baseline activity from press briefings and routine updates supports elevated totals, yet variability tied to breaking events or quieter stretches keeps multiple brackets competitive. A major announcement, congressional vote, or international summit within the period could push volume higher, while limited news flow or procedural pauses might compress totals toward mid-range outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWhite House # posts August 4 - August 11, 2026?
60-79 83%
80-99 83%
200+ 51%
<20 49%
<20
49%
20-39
49%
40-59
49%
60-79
83%
80-99
83%
100-119
42%
120-139
42%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180-199
42%
200+
51%
60-79 83%
80-99 83%
200+ 51%
<20 49%
<20
49%
20-39
49%
40-59
49%
60-79
83%
80-99
83%
100-119
42%
120-139
42%
140-159
42%
160-179
42%
180-199
42%
200+
51%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Market Opened: Aug 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Resolution Source
https://x.com/WhiteHouseResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus assigns the highest implied probability to over 200 White House posts in the August 4-11 window, consistent with typical weekly output during periods of active executive communications and policy rollouts. Closely matched odds across the 160-199 ranges reflect uncertainty over fluctuations driven by the administration's schedule, including official statements on legislation, agency actions, and diplomatic developments. Baseline activity from press briefings and routine updates supports elevated totals, yet variability tied to breaking events or quieter stretches keeps multiple brackets competitive. A major announcement, congressional vote, or international summit within the period could push volume higher, while limited news flow or procedural pauses might compress totals toward mid-range outcomes.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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