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icon for Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

icon for Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?

NEW
Sep 30, 2026
Polymarket

$0.00 Vol.

Polymarket

$0 Vol.

52%

$0 Vol.

53%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump has renewed public efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations, following the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling that blocked an earlier attempt on due-process and statutory “for cause” grounds while allowing litigation to continue. The decision preserved Fed Board independence for now but left the administration’s broader removal authority at other agencies intact, prompting Trump to state he will pursue the matter through ongoing court proceedings. Cook’s lawsuit challenges the legality of the action, and lower-court injunctions have kept her in place. Trader focus centers on whether new termination attempts, Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor, or further appeals could occur before key FOMC meetings or policy deadlines, with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflecting uncertainty over litigation timelines and institutional constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. President Trump has renewed public efforts to remove Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, citing pre-appointment mortgage fraud allegations, following the Supreme Court’s June 2026 5-4 ruling that blocked an earlier attempt on due-process and statutory “for cause” grounds while allowing litigation to continue. The decision preserved Fed Board independence for now but left the administration’s broader removal authority at other agencies intact, prompting Trump to state he will pursue the matter through ongoing court proceedings. Cook’s lawsuit challenges the legality of the action, and lower-court injunctions have kept her in place. Trader focus centers on whether new termination attempts, Senate confirmation dynamics for any successor, or further appeals could occur before key FOMC meetings or policy deadlines, with the wisdom-of-crowds pricing reflecting uncertainty over litigation timelines and institutional constraints.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify.

If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No".

The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$0
End Date
Sep 30, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 5:49 PM ET
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump publicly and unequivocally announces that he is removing Lisa Cook as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors, or takes formal action toward doing so, such as issuing a directive or formal request, between market creation and the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Statements which are contingent (e.g. “Cook must step down”), statements of intent (e.g.“I am planning to fire Cook) or other informal statements which are not unequivocal will not qualify. If Lisa Cook resigns or otherwise formally departs her role as a member of the Federal Reserve Board of Governors prior to a qualifying action, this market will immediately resolve to "No". The resolution source will be official information from Donald Trump; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?" at 53%, followed by "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?" at 52%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 53¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?" is "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by September 30?" at 53%, meaning the market assigns a 53% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by August 31?" at 52%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Trump tries to fire Lisa Cook by...?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.