**Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model guidance currently point to daytime highs of 31–33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 2, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with midsummer climatology for the region, where August averages near 31°C but can fluctuate with steering patterns and cloud cover; recent model runs show no strong typhoon influence or major frontal systems to push temperatures significantly higher or lower. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32°C (44.5%) and 33°C (30.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or 34°C+ outcomes given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs expected later on August 1 will likely refine the exact peak, particularly regarding any afternoon convection that could cap the high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 2?
Highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) on August 2?
32°C 45%
33°C 31%
31°C 22%
34°C 4%
NEW
$18,552 Vol.
NEW
$18,552 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
1%
30°C
3%
31°C
22%
32°C
45%
33°C
31%
34°C
4%
35°C or higher
2%
32°C 45%
33°C 31%
31°C 22%
34°C 4%
NEW
$18,552 Vol.
NEW
$18,552 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
25°C or below
$1,687 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$951 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$327 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,084 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,540 Vol.
1%
30°C
$1,472 Vol.
3%
31°C
$1,947 Vol.
22%
32°C
$1,569 Vol.
45%
33°C
$1,767 Vol.
31%
34°C
$2,305 Vol.
4%
35°C or higher
$1,903 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model guidance currently point to daytime highs of 31–33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 2, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity.**
This aligns with midsummer climatology for the region, where August averages near 31°C but can fluctuate with steering patterns and cloud cover; recent model runs show no strong typhoon influence or major frontal systems to push temperatures significantly higher or lower. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32°C (44.5%) and 33°C (30.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or 34°C+ outcomes given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs expected later on August 1 will likely refine the exact peak, particularly regarding any afternoon convection that could cap the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$18,552End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model guidance currently point to daytime highs of 31–33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 2, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity.**
This aligns with midsummer climatology for the region, where August averages near 31°C but can fluctuate with steering patterns and cloud cover; recent model runs show no strong typhoon influence or major frontal systems to push temperatures significantly higher or lower. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32°C (44.5%) and 33°C (30.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or 34°C+ outcomes given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs expected later on August 1 will likely refine the exact peak, particularly regarding any afternoon convection that could cap the high.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Incheon Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$18,552End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:02 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSIResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) and supporting model guidance currently point to daytime highs of 31–33°C in the Seoul-Incheon area on August 2, 2026, under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies with light southerly winds and moderate humidity.** This aligns with midsummer climatology for the region, where August averages near 31°C but can fluctuate with steering patterns and cloud cover; recent model runs show no strong typhoon influence or major frontal systems to push temperatures significantly higher or lower. The tight clustering of market-implied odds around 32°C (44.5%) and 33°C (30.5%) reflects trader consensus on these forecast thresholds, with lower probabilities assigned to 31°C or 34°C+ outcomes given the narrow uncertainty range in current guidance. Updated KMA briefings and ensemble runs expected later on August 1 will likely refine the exact peak, particularly regarding any afternoon convection that could cap the high.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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