Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models shows Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 2 likely peaking near 20–22°C under a moderating southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 22°C. This range reflects typical early-August maritime conditions in southern Finland, where daytime highs average 19–20°C but can edge higher with reduced cloud cover or warm advection. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while assigning low odds to extremes given the narrow thermal window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Helsinki on August 2?
Highest temperature in Helsinki on August 2?
22°C 56%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
20°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
17°C or below
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
3%
21°C
16%
22°C
56%
23°C
27%
24°C
3%
25°C
1%
26°C
<1%
27°C or higher
<1%
22°C 56%
23°C 27%
21°C 16%
20°C 3%
NEW
NEW
Aug 2, 2026
17°C or below
$257 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$361 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$363 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$676 Vol.
3%
21°C
$1,312 Vol.
16%
22°C
$2,985 Vol.
56%
23°C
$617 Vol.
27%
24°C
$1,010 Vol.
3%
25°C
$1,014 Vol.
1%
26°C
$714 Vol.
<1%
27°C or higher
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models shows Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 2 likely peaking near 20–22°C under a moderating southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 22°C. This range reflects typical early-August maritime conditions in southern Finland, where daytime highs average 19–20°C but can edge higher with reduced cloud cover or warm advection. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while assigning low odds to extremes given the narrow thermal window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,698End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models shows Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 2 likely peaking near 20–22°C under a moderating southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 22°C. This range reflects typical early-August maritime conditions in southern Finland, where daytime highs average 19–20°C but can edge higher with reduced cloud cover or warm advection. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while assigning low odds to extremes given the narrow thermal window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Helsinki Vantaa Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,698End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fi/vantaa/EFHKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from the Finnish Meteorological Institute and ensemble models shows Helsinki's maximum temperature on August 2 likely peaking near 20–22°C under a moderating southwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with the market's strong preference for 22°C. This range reflects typical early-August maritime conditions in southern Finland, where daytime highs average 19–20°C but can edge higher with reduced cloud cover or warm advection. Traders appear to price in modest upside uncertainty from model spread and potential afternoon clearing, while assigning low odds to extremes given the narrow thermal window and stable large-scale pattern. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations tomorrow morning will refine these probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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