Recent forecast guidance from models shows elevated chances of cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market-implied 75.5% probability on a maximum of 33°C or below. Subtropical moisture and regional pressure patterns are key drivers, consistent with typical early-August conditions where afternoon convection often caps peaks below seasonal averages near 34°C. Official monitoring highlights urban heat-island effects and precise station measurements as resolution factors, with short-term model runs introducing realistic uncertainty around intensification or clearing that could shift outcomes toward 34–35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Chongqing on August 2?
Highest temperature in Chongqing on August 2?
33°C or below 76%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
NEW
$27,798 Vol.
NEW
$27,798 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
33°C or below
76%
34°C
18%
35°C
7%
36°C
3%
37°C
1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C
<1%
43°C or higher
<1%
33°C or below 76%
34°C 18%
35°C 7%
36°C 3%
NEW
$27,798 Vol.
NEW
$27,798 Vol.
Aug 2, 2026
33°C or below
$6,248 Vol.
76%
34°C
$1,801 Vol.
18%
35°C
$2,585 Vol.
7%
36°C
$2,819 Vol.
3%
37°C
$3,269 Vol.
1%
38°C
$4,801 Vol.
<1%
39°C
$3,071 Vol.
<1%
40°C
$1,895 Vol.
<1%
41°C
$346 Vol.
<1%
42°C
$484 Vol.
<1%
43°C or higher
$479 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models shows elevated chances of cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market-implied 75.5% probability on a maximum of 33°C or below. Subtropical moisture and regional pressure patterns are key drivers, consistent with typical early-August conditions where afternoon convection often caps peaks below seasonal averages near 34°C. Official monitoring highlights urban heat-island effects and precise station measurements as resolution factors, with short-term model runs introducing realistic uncertainty around intensification or clearing that could shift outcomes toward 34–35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$27,798End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast guidance from models shows elevated chances of cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market-implied 75.5% probability on a maximum of 33°C or below. Subtropical moisture and regional pressure patterns are key drivers, consistent with typical early-August conditions where afternoon convection often caps peaks below seasonal averages near 34°C. Official monitoring highlights urban heat-island effects and precise station measurements as resolution factors, with short-term model runs introducing realistic uncertainty around intensification or clearing that could shift outcomes toward 34–35°C.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 2 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Chongqing Jiangbei International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,798End Date
Aug 2, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/chongqing/ZUCKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast guidance from models shows elevated chances of cloud cover and scattered thunderstorms over Chongqing on August 2, suppressing daytime heating and supporting the market-implied 75.5% probability on a maximum of 33°C or below. Subtropical moisture and regional pressure patterns are key drivers, consistent with typical early-August conditions where afternoon convection often caps peaks below seasonal averages near 34°C. Official monitoring highlights urban heat-island effects and precise station measurements as resolution factors, with short-term model runs introducing realistic uncertainty around intensification or clearing that could shift outcomes toward 34–35°C.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions