**Forecast models and atmospheric conditions position 30°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 11 high temperature, with market-implied odds reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer coastal patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high is driving warm, humid air masses across the Korean Peninsula, though Busan's marine location and sea breezes often moderate peaks relative to inland sites. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a potential 34°C maximum under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other extended outlooks and historical August climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) support a narrower 29–31°C range. Recent early-August heat waves, including record regional temperatures exceeding 40°C, have elevated baseline expectations but are tempered by forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and model spreads. Upcoming KMA updates and ensemble runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on August 11?
Highest temperature in Busan on August 11?
30°C 50%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
32°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
3%
29°C
30%
30°C
50%
31°C
16%
32°C
5%
33°C
2%
34°C or higher
1%
30°C 50%
29°C 30%
31°C 16%
32°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
24°C or below
$494 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$255 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$411 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$607 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$701 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,660 Vol.
30%
30°C
$1,351 Vol.
50%
31°C
$721 Vol.
16%
32°C
$1,228 Vol.
5%
33°C
$762 Vol.
2%
34°C or higher
$636 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and atmospheric conditions position 30°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 11 high temperature, with market-implied odds reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer coastal patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high is driving warm, humid air masses across the Korean Peninsula, though Busan's marine location and sea breezes often moderate peaks relative to inland sites. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a potential 34°C maximum under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other extended outlooks and historical August climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) support a narrower 29–31°C range. Recent early-August heat waves, including record regional temperatures exceeding 40°C, have elevated baseline expectations but are tempered by forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and model spreads. Upcoming KMA updates and ensemble runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Volume
$9,827End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and atmospheric conditions position 30°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 11 high temperature, with market-implied odds reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer coastal patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high is driving warm, humid air masses across the Korean Peninsula, though Busan's marine location and sea breezes often moderate peaks relative to inland sites. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a potential 34°C maximum under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other extended outlooks and historical August climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) support a narrower 29–31°C range. Recent early-August heat waves, including record regional temperatures exceeding 40°C, have elevated baseline expectations but are tempered by forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and model spreads. Upcoming KMA updates and ensemble runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$9,827End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 9, 2026, 12:07 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and atmospheric conditions position 30°C as the leading outcome for Busan's August 11 high temperature, with market-implied odds reflecting trader consensus around typical late-summer coastal patterns.** Persistent influence from the North Pacific high is driving warm, humid air masses across the Korean Peninsula, though Busan's marine location and sea breezes often moderate peaks relative to inland sites. Official Korea Meteorological Administration short-range guidance indicates a potential 34°C maximum under clear skies with minimal precipitation risk, while other extended outlooks and historical August climatology (average highs near 29–31°C) support a narrower 29–31°C range. Recent early-August heat waves, including record regional temperatures exceeding 40°C, have elevated baseline expectations but are tempered by forecast uncertainty in steering patterns and model spreads. Upcoming KMA updates and ensemble runs will likely refine these probabilities ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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