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Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

icon for Winnipeg Mayoral Election
Politics·Canada

Winnipeg Mayoral Election

Scott Gillingham 40%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Mazher Alam 6%

Umar Hayat 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Scott Gillingham 40%

Joshua Pagdato 6%

Mazher Alam 6%

Umar Hayat 6%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Scott Gillingham

Scott Gillingham

$20 Vol.

40%

icon for Joshua Pagdato

Joshua Pagdato

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Mazher Alam

Mazher Alam

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Umar Hayat

Umar Hayat

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Michael Vogiatzakis

Michael Vogiatzakis

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Don Woodstock

Don Woodstock

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Johnny Calderon

Johnny Calderon

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Noah Redden

Noah Redden

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Zachary Uminski

Zachary Uminski

$0 Vol.

6%

icon for Christopher Clacio

Christopher Clacio

$19 Vol.

5%

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.The crowded field of more than 10 registered candidates for Winnipeg's October 28, 2026 mayoral election, including incumbent Scott Gillingham and challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Christopher Clacio, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Noah Redden, Zachary Uminski, and recent entrant Brad Gross, has produced closely matched trader odds. A June Probe Research poll indicated limited support for Gillingham's re-election amid concerns over homelessness, addictions, transit, and public safety, yet no opponent has consolidated backing from key voting blocs. With candidate registration open until September 22 and vote fragmentation likely under the city's electoral system, the absence of dominant polling leads or major endorsements keeps implied probabilities tight across contenders. Developments such as late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in local policy debates could alter positioning before election day.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$39
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.The crowded field of more than 10 registered candidates for Winnipeg's October 28, 2026 mayoral election, including incumbent Scott Gillingham and challengers such as Joshua Pagdato, Mazher Alam, Umar Hayat, Michael Vogiatzakis, Christopher Clacio, Don Woodstock, Johnny Calderon, Noah Redden, Zachary Uminski, and recent entrant Brad Gross, has produced closely matched trader odds. A June Probe Research poll indicated limited support for Gillingham's re-election amid concerns over homelessness, addictions, transit, and public safety, yet no opponent has consolidated backing from key voting blocs. With candidate registration open until September 22 and vote fragmentation likely under the city's electoral system, the absence of dominant polling leads or major endorsements keeps implied probabilities tight across contenders. Developments such as late endorsements, candidate withdrawals, or shifts in local policy debates could alter positioning before election day.

The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.
Volume
$39
End Date
Oct 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 3:46 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Winnipeg mayoral election is currently scheduled to be held on October 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next mayor of Winnipeg as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from Winnipeg.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Scott Gillingham" at 40%, followed by "Joshua Pagdato" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 10, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Winnipeg Mayoral Election," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" is "Scott Gillingham" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Joshua Pagdato" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Winnipeg Mayoral Election" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.