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icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)
Politics·Primaries

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

icon for Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)
Politics·Primaries

Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)

NEW
Polymarket
NEW
icon for Francesca Hong

Francesca Hong

$0 Vol.

59%

icon for David Crowley

David Crowley

$0 Vol.

45%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Recent polling and candidate positioning keep the Dane County Democratic primary contest tightly matched ahead of the August 11 vote, with Francesca Hong holding a modest statewide edge as the Madison-based state representative but facing a late surge from Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley. Crowley's re-entry after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez exited the race, backed by Gov. Tony Evers, has consolidated support among more moderate voters outside Dane County while Hong retains strong local name recognition and progressive backing in her home base. Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan draw limited but steady shares statewide, fragmenting the field and preventing any candidate from pulling decisively ahead in early voting or endorsements. The short timeline to primary day and high undecided share limit separation, though final weekend events or turnout among Madison progressives could still shift the local outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.Recent polling and candidate positioning keep the Dane County Democratic primary contest tightly matched ahead of the August 11 vote, with Francesca Hong holding a modest statewide edge as the Madison-based state representative but facing a late surge from Milwaukee County Executive David Crowley. Crowley's re-entry after Lt. Gov. Sara Rodriguez exited the race, backed by Gov. Tony Evers, has consolidated support among more moderate voters outside Dane County while Hong retains strong local name recognition and progressive backing in her home base. Kelda Roys and Joel Brennan draw limited but steady shares statewide, fragmenting the field and preventing any candidate from pulling decisively ahead in early voting or endorsements. The short timeline to primary day and high undecided share limit separation, though final weekend events or turnout among Madison progressives could still shift the local outcome.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026.

The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”

This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.
Volume
$0
End Date
Aug 11, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 7, 2026, 4:45 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who receives the most valid votes from Dane County in the Democratic Primary for Governor of Wisconsin, which is scheduled to be held on August 11, 2026. The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the Dane County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Dane County.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 2 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Francesca Hong" at 59%, followed by "David Crowley" at 45%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 59¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 7, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)," browse the 2 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" is "Francesca Hong" at 59%, meaning the market assigns a 59% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "David Crowley" at 45%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Wisconsin Governor Democratic Primary: Dane County Winner (Madison)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.