The Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor on August 11 features a tight contest in Kenosha County, where recent statewide polling shows Francesca Hong leading but with substantial undecided voters and late momentum shifts. David Crowley reentered after a brief exit, outraising Hong in July fundraising while securing endorsements and union support that could boost turnout in southeastern counties like Kenosha. Hong faces renewed scrutiny over past social media posts, creating volatility just days before ballots close. These factors, combined with the primary's open field following other withdrawals, sustain even trader odds around 49-50% for top contenders. A strong local performance by either candidate or last-minute campaign events could separate results in the county.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Francesca Hong
50%

David Crowley
29%

Francesca Hong
50%

David Crowley
29%
The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
Market Opened: Aug 7, 2026, 4:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The named candidates will be primarily ranked by the number of valid votes received in the specified election. If two or more candidates are tied on valid votes, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates' last names. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the Kenosha County results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.”
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Wisconsin including the Wisconsin Elections Commission and the government of Kenosha County.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Democratic primary for Wisconsin governor on August 11 features a tight contest in Kenosha County, where recent statewide polling shows Francesca Hong leading but with substantial undecided voters and late momentum shifts. David Crowley reentered after a brief exit, outraising Hong in July fundraising while securing endorsements and union support that could boost turnout in southeastern counties like Kenosha. Hong faces renewed scrutiny over past social media posts, creating volatility just days before ballots close. These factors, combined with the primary's open field following other withdrawals, sustain even trader odds around 49-50% for top contenders. A strong local performance by either candidate or last-minute campaign events could separate results in the county.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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