Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Center Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.2% and 7.3% in surveys from May through early August 2026, reflecting stable but modest support ahead of the September 13 election. This positioning keeps the 5-7% and 7-9% ranges closely matched in trader pricing, as the party navigates a fragmented landscape where the red-green opposition holds a lead over the Tidö governing bloc. Factors sustaining tightness include consistent mid-single-digit results across pollsters, limited campaign momentum for centrist voters, and typical late-cycle volatility in turnout or preference shifts among smaller parties. Developments that could widen gaps include stronger performance in final debates, bloc realignments affecting C's appeal, or shifts in economic or immigration priorities that mobilize its traditional base before advance voting begins in late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated9%+ 37%
<5% 37%
7-9% 37%
5-7% 0
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
37%
5-7%
44%
7-9%
37%
9%+
37%
9%+ 37%
<5% 37%
7-9% 37%
5-7% 0
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
<5%
$0 Vol.
37%
5-7%
$89 Vol.
44%
7-9%
$0 Vol.
37%
9%+
$0 Vol.
37%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Center Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.2% and 7.3% in surveys from May through early August 2026, reflecting stable but modest support ahead of the September 13 election. This positioning keeps the 5-7% and 7-9% ranges closely matched in trader pricing, as the party navigates a fragmented landscape where the red-green opposition holds a lead over the Tidö governing bloc. Factors sustaining tightness include consistent mid-single-digit results across pollsters, limited campaign momentum for centrist voters, and typical late-cycle volatility in turnout or preference shifts among smaller parties. Developments that could widen gaps include stronger performance in final debates, bloc realignments affecting C's appeal, or shifts in economic or immigration priorities that mobilize its traditional base before advance voting begins in late August.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ET
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Center Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.2% and 7.3% in surveys from May through early August 2026, reflecting stable but modest support ahead of the September 13 election. This positioning keeps the 5-7% and 7-9% ranges closely matched in trader pricing, as the party navigates a fragmented landscape where the red-green opposition holds a lead over the Tidö governing bloc. Factors sustaining tightness include consistent mid-single-digit results across pollsters, limited campaign momentum for centrist voters, and typical late-cycle volatility in turnout or preference shifts among smaller parties. Developments that could widen gaps include stronger performance in final debates, bloc realignments affecting C's appeal, or shifts in economic or immigration priorities that mobilize its traditional base before advance voting begins in late August.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of valid votes received by Centre Party (C) in the specified election.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
This market will resolve solely based on the percentage of valid votes won by the specified party, defined as the number of valid votes won by the specified party divided by the total number of valid votes in the specified election.
Valid vote percentages will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned party. Vote percentages attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If the specified party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, the valid vote percentage of the successor party will count towards resolution.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$89End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:44 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Swedish opinion polls place the Center Party (Centerpartiet) vote share between 6.2% and 7.3% in surveys from May through early August 2026, reflecting stable but modest support ahead of the September 13 election. This positioning keeps the 5-7% and 7-9% ranges closely matched in trader pricing, as the party navigates a fragmented landscape where the red-green opposition holds a lead over the Tidö governing bloc. Factors sustaining tightness include consistent mid-single-digit results across pollsters, limited campaign momentum for centrist voters, and typical late-cycle volatility in turnout or preference shifts among smaller parties. Developments that could widen gaps include stronger performance in final debates, bloc realignments affecting C's appeal, or shifts in economic or immigration priorities that mobilize its traditional base before advance voting begins in late August.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions