**Alfredo Gaspar secured 96.9% trader consensus after Flávio Bolsonaro formally named the Liberal Party federal deputy from Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026.** The announcement ended weeks of internal party discussions and stalled outreach to centrist groups, forming an all-PL ticket for the October presidential election. Earlier speculation around figures such as Michelle Bolsonaro, Tereza Cristina, and Daniella Marques faded once those individuals or their parties declined to join. Gaspar’s profile as a former Alagoas public security secretary aligns with the campaign’s security platform. While late procedural objections or formal ticket registration issues could theoretically reopen the market, the completed public selection and party backing make alternative outcomes improbable before the electoral authority deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAlfredo Gaspar 96.5%
Clarissa Tércio 1.9%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Daniella Marques <1%
Alfredo Gaspar
97%
Clarissa Tércio
2%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
Alfredo Gaspar 96.5%
Clarissa Tércio 1.9%
Marcos Pontes <1%
Daniella Marques <1%
Alfredo Gaspar
97%
Clarissa Tércio
2%
Marcos Pontes
<1%
Daniella Marques
<1%
Michelle Bolsonaro
<1%
Priscila Costa
<1%
Renata Abreu
<1%
Gilson Machado
<1%
Júlia Zanatta
<1%
Rogério Marinho
<1%
Tereza Cristina
<1%
Simone Marquetto
<1%
Damares Alves
<1%
Bia Kicis
<1%
Rosana Valle
<1%
An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 12:08 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...An announcement of candidate selection will not alone qualify.
If Flavio Bolsonaro does not officially file a registration request to contest the 2026 Brazil presidential elections by August 15, 2026, 11:59 Brasilia time, this market will resolve to “Other”.
Any subsequent substitution, replacement, withdrawal, disqualification, or other change to the initially registered vice-presidential candidate will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Brazil, including the Superior Electoral Court (TSE, https://divulgacandcontas.tse.jus.br/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Alfredo Gaspar secured 96.9% trader consensus after Flávio Bolsonaro formally named the Liberal Party federal deputy from Alagoas as his vice-presidential running mate on August 5, 2026.** The announcement ended weeks of internal party discussions and stalled outreach to centrist groups, forming an all-PL ticket for the October presidential election. Earlier speculation around figures such as Michelle Bolsonaro, Tereza Cristina, and Daniella Marques faded once those individuals or their parties declined to join. Gaspar’s profile as a former Alagoas public security secretary aligns with the campaign’s security platform. While late procedural objections or formal ticket registration issues could theoretically reopen the market, the completed public selection and party backing make alternative outcomes improbable before the electoral authority deadline.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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