Recent polls place Sweden's Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with both parties drawing roughly 6–8% support amid the broader red-green bloc led by the Social Democrats. Late-campaign dynamics, including voter shifts within left-leaning constituencies on issues such as climate policy, social welfare, and economic pressures, sustain the narrow edge reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns of modest swings between these allied parties near election day, combined with turnout variations in urban and younger demographics, keep the outcome sensitive to final-week developments like targeted campaigning or bloc-wide momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedV
56% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
V
56% chance
NEW
NEW
Sep 13, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Sweden's Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with both parties drawing roughly 6–8% support amid the broader red-green bloc led by the Social Democrats. Late-campaign dynamics, including voter shifts within left-leaning constituencies on issues such as climate policy, social welfare, and economic pressures, sustain the narrow edge reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns of modest swings between these allied parties near election day, combined with turnout variations in urban and younger demographics, keep the outcome sensitive to final-week developments like targeted campaigning or bloc-wide momentum.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Market Opened: Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ET
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).Recent polls place Sweden's Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with both parties drawing roughly 6–8% support amid the broader red-green bloc led by the Social Democrats. Late-campaign dynamics, including voter shifts within left-leaning constituencies on issues such as climate policy, social welfare, and economic pressures, sustain the narrow edge reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns of modest swings between these allied parties near election day, combined with turnout variations in urban and younger demographics, keep the outcome sensitive to final-week developments like targeted campaigning or bloc-wide momentum.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Sweden on September 13, 2026.
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
This market will resolve to “V” if Left Party (V) wins more valid votes than Green Party (MP) in the specified election.
This market will resolve to “MP” if Green Party (MP) wins more valid votes than Left Party (V) in the specified election.
This market will resolve 50-50 if both Left Party (V) and Green Party (MP) receive exactly the same number of valid votes in the specified election.
This market will resolve solely based on the number of valid votes won by each specified party.
Valid votes will be counted only where the Swedish Election Authority attributes them to the aforementioned parties. Votes attributed to other parties or electoral designations will not count, regardless of electoral cooperation, endorsements, coalition agreements, or subsequent parliamentary-group arrangements. If either party formally merges into a successor party before the election and does not contest separately, this market will resolve 50-50.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Swedish government, specifically the Swedish Election Authority (Valmyndigheten) (https://www.val.se/).
Volume
$61End Date
Sep 13, 2026Market Opened
Aug 13, 2026, 5:31 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Recent polls place Sweden's Vänsterpartiet and Miljöpartiet in a tight race ahead of the September 13 parliamentary election, with both parties drawing roughly 6–8% support amid the broader red-green bloc led by the Social Democrats. Late-campaign dynamics, including voter shifts within left-leaning constituencies on issues such as climate policy, social welfare, and economic pressures, sustain the narrow edge reflected in trader pricing. Historical patterns of modest swings between these allied parties near election day, combined with turnout variations in urban and younger demographics, keep the outcome sensitive to final-week developments like targeted campaigning or bloc-wide momentum.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions