**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s August 11 maximum temperature centers on a narrow cluster around 25–28 °C because an incoming weather system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and flash-flood conditions that will limit daytime heating.** Official extended forecasts show an anticipated high near 27 °C (roughly 81 °F) under overcast skies with substantial precipitation, well below the city’s typical early-August peak of 30–33 °C driven by strong summer monsoon heating and clear skies. Cloud cover sharply reduces incoming solar radiation, while evaporative cooling from rainfall and high humidity further cap surface temperatures. Slight differences in model timing or rainfall intensity can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why the four leading outcomes (25–28 °C) trade at nearly identical implied probabilities. Lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent a rapid clearing trend or unexpected suppression of the rain shield. Updated model runs and local meteorological agency briefings on precipitation amounts and cloud persistence will be the key near-term catalysts for any further movement in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 11?
Highest temperature in Zhengzhou on August 11?
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
22°C or below
2%
23°C
10%
24°C
13%
25°C
28%
26°C
29%
27°C
28%
28°C
27%
29°C
11%
30°C
7%
31°C
3%
32°C or higher
1%
26°C 29%
27°C 28%
25°C 28%
24°C 13%
NEW
NEW
Aug 11, 2026
22°C or below
$12 Vol.
2%
23°C
$8 Vol.
10%
24°C
$0 Vol.
13%
25°C
$0 Vol.
28%
26°C
$1 Vol.
29%
27°C
$0 Vol.
28%
28°C
$11 Vol.
27%
29°C
$12 Vol.
11%
30°C
$12 Vol.
7%
31°C
$12 Vol.
3%
32°C or higher
$1 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s August 11 maximum temperature centers on a narrow cluster around 25–28 °C because an incoming weather system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and flash-flood conditions that will limit daytime heating.** Official extended forecasts show an anticipated high near 27 °C (roughly 81 °F) under overcast skies with substantial precipitation, well below the city’s typical early-August peak of 30–33 °C driven by strong summer monsoon heating and clear skies.
Cloud cover sharply reduces incoming solar radiation, while evaporative cooling from rainfall and high humidity further cap surface temperatures. Slight differences in model timing or rainfall intensity can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why the four leading outcomes (25–28 °C) trade at nearly identical implied probabilities. Lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent a rapid clearing trend or unexpected suppression of the rain shield. Updated model runs and local meteorological agency briefings on precipitation amounts and cloud persistence will be the key near-term catalysts for any further movement in the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$69End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s August 11 maximum temperature centers on a narrow cluster around 25–28 °C because an incoming weather system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and flash-flood conditions that will limit daytime heating.** Official extended forecasts show an anticipated high near 27 °C (roughly 81 °F) under overcast skies with substantial precipitation, well below the city’s typical early-August peak of 30–33 °C driven by strong summer monsoon heating and clear skies.
Cloud cover sharply reduces incoming solar radiation, while evaporative cooling from rainfall and high humidity further cap surface temperatures. Slight differences in model timing or rainfall intensity can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why the four leading outcomes (25–28 °C) trade at nearly identical implied probabilities. Lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent a rapid clearing trend or unexpected suppression of the rain shield. Updated model runs and local meteorological agency briefings on precipitation amounts and cloud persistence will be the key near-term catalysts for any further movement in the market.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 11 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$69End Date
Aug 11, 2026Market Opened
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/zhengzhou/ZHCCResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for Zhengzhou’s August 11 maximum temperature centers on a narrow cluster around 25–28 °C because an incoming weather system is expected to bring widespread cloud cover, heavy rain, and flash-flood conditions that will limit daytime heating.** Official extended forecasts show an anticipated high near 27 °C (roughly 81 °F) under overcast skies with substantial precipitation, well below the city’s typical early-August peak of 30–33 °C driven by strong summer monsoon heating and clear skies. Cloud cover sharply reduces incoming solar radiation, while evaporative cooling from rainfall and high humidity further cap surface temperatures. Slight differences in model timing or rainfall intensity can shift the realized maximum by 1–2 °C, which is why the four leading outcomes (25–28 °C) trade at nearly identical implied probabilities. Lower or higher extremes remain unlikely absent a rapid clearing trend or unexpected suppression of the rain shield. Updated model runs and local meteorological agency briefings on precipitation amounts and cloud persistence will be the key near-term catalysts for any further movement in the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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