Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project a daytime high near 35°C for Wuhan on July 31, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 36°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Scattered late-day thunderstorms could limit peak readings if they develop earlier than expected, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the 34–36°C range. Recent regional observations show daytime maxima climbing steadily from 32–34°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge, consistent with climatological July peaks but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or convective timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical variability in monsoon-influenced summer maxima. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Wuhan on July 31?
Highest temperature in Wuhan on July 31?
35°C 28%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
1%
31°C
2%
32°C
3%
33°C
11%
34°C
18%
35°C
26%
36°C
28%
37°C
17%
38°C or higher
4%
35°C 28%
36°C 28%
34°C 18%
37°C 17%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$5 Vol.
1%
31°C
$14 Vol.
2%
32°C
$67 Vol.
3%
33°C
$1 Vol.
11%
34°C
$0 Vol.
18%
35°C
$4 Vol.
26%
36°C
$21 Vol.
28%
37°C
$63 Vol.
17%
38°C or higher
$4 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project a daytime high near 35°C for Wuhan on July 31, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 36°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Scattered late-day thunderstorms could limit peak readings if they develop earlier than expected, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the 34–36°C range. Recent regional observations show daytime maxima climbing steadily from 32–34°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge, consistent with climatological July peaks but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or convective timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical variability in monsoon-influenced summer maxima. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$170End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project a daytime high near 35°C for Wuhan on July 31, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 36°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Scattered late-day thunderstorms could limit peak readings if they develop earlier than expected, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the 34–36°C range. Recent regional observations show daytime maxima climbing steadily from 32–34°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge, consistent with climatological July peaks but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or convective timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical variability in monsoon-influenced summer maxima. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$170End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources like the Met Office and GFS ensembles currently project a daytime high near 35°C for Wuhan on July 31, with afternoon dew points supporting heat indices above 36°C under partly cloudy skies and light southerly flow. Scattered late-day thunderstorms could limit peak readings if they develop earlier than expected, while clearer conditions would favor the upper end of the 34–36°C range. Recent regional observations show daytime maxima climbing steadily from 32–34°C amid a weakening subtropical ridge, consistent with climatological July peaks but sensitive to small shifts in steering flow or convective timing. Market-implied odds reflect this narrow spread of outcomes, with traders weighting ensemble consensus against historical variability in monsoon-influenced summer maxima. Updated model runs and official Chinese Meteorological Administration guidance ahead of the date remain the key near-term catalysts.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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