Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedLowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
Lowest temperature in Paris on July 31?
18°C 40%
19°C 36%
20°C 5%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
47%
18°C
52%
19°C
21%
20°C
5%
21°C
5%
22°C
2%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
1%
27°C or higher
1%
18°C 40%
19°C 36%
20°C 5%
21°C 5%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
17°C or below
$17 Vol.
47%
18°C
$162 Vol.
52%
19°C
$9 Vol.
21%
20°C
$0 Vol.
5%
21°C
$7 Vol.
5%
22°C
$42 Vol.
2%
23°C
$22 Vol.
1%
24°C
$0 Vol.
1%
25°C
$0 Vol.
1%
26°C
$0 Vol.
1%
27°C or higher
$0 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$258End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$258End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from sources like Météo-France and ECMWF indicate minimum temperatures in Paris on July 31 clustering near 18–19°C amid a late-month heat episode, with highs expected to reach 30–32°C under mostly clear to partly cloudy skies. This positioning reflects strong high-pressure influence promoting daytime heating yet allowing moderate nocturnal radiational cooling, tempered by residual warmth from prior days and light winds limiting mixing. Ensemble spreads highlight sensitivity to subtle shifts in cloud cover, humidity, or frontal approaches that could nudge the overnight low by 1–2°C either way, consistent with the tight market-implied odds between the top two outcomes and the modest probability assigned to 17°C or below. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these variables ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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