Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position Ankara’s July 31 maximum near 27–28 °C, just below the city’s late-July climatological average of 30–31 °C on the Anatolian plateau. Stable high-pressure ridging and north-easterly flow limit afternoon mixing and moisture, while modest boundary-layer humidity and possible thin cloud cover cap peak readings. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the Etimesgut station will determine resolution, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variable that could shift probability between the leading 27 °C and 28 °C bins favored by current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Ankara on July 31?
Highest temperature in Ankara on July 31?
27°C 36%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
2%
24°C
2%
25°C
11%
26°C
20%
27°C
36%
28°C
21%
29°C
5%
30°C
3%
31°C
4%
32°C or higher
2%
27°C 36%
28°C 21%
26°C 20%
25°C 11%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
22°C or below
$0 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$5 Vol.
2%
24°C
$5 Vol.
2%
25°C
$1 Vol.
11%
26°C
$60 Vol.
20%
27°C
$82 Vol.
36%
28°C
$0 Vol.
21%
29°C
$0 Vol.
5%
30°C
$10 Vol.
3%
31°C
$5 Vol.
4%
32°C or higher
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position Ankara’s July 31 maximum near 27–28 °C, just below the city’s late-July climatological average of 30–31 °C on the Anatolian plateau. Stable high-pressure ridging and north-easterly flow limit afternoon mixing and moisture, while modest boundary-layer humidity and possible thin cloud cover cap peak readings. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the Etimesgut station will determine resolution, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variable that could shift probability between the leading 27 °C and 28 °C bins favored by current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Volume
$173End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position Ankara’s July 31 maximum near 27–28 °C, just below the city’s late-July climatological average of 30–31 °C on the Anatolian plateau. Stable high-pressure ridging and north-easterly flow limit afternoon mixing and moisture, while modest boundary-layer humidity and possible thin cloud cover cap peak readings. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the Etimesgut station will determine resolution, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variable that could shift probability between the leading 27 °C and 28 °C bins favored by current trader consensus.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$173End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 1:03 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from global and regional models position Ankara’s July 31 maximum near 27–28 °C, just below the city’s late-July climatological average of 30–31 °C on the Anatolian plateau. Stable high-pressure ridging and north-easterly flow limit afternoon mixing and moisture, while modest boundary-layer humidity and possible thin cloud cover cap peak readings. Official Turkish Meteorological Service observations at the Etimesgut station will determine resolution, and updated model runs over the next 48 hours remain the key variable that could shift probability between the leading 27 °C and 28 °C bins favored by current trader consensus.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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