**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 31?
Highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur on July 31?
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
<1%
29°C
4%
30°C
5%
31°C
6%
32°C
23%
33°C
36%
34°C
28%
35°C
6%
36°C
3%
37°C
3%
38°C or higher
<1%
33°C 36%
34°C 28%
32°C 23%
31°C 6%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
28°C or below
$133 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$142 Vol.
4%
30°C
$42 Vol.
5%
31°C
$109 Vol.
6%
32°C
$60 Vol.
23%
33°C
$59 Vol.
36%
34°C
$77 Vol.
28%
35°C
$355 Vol.
6%
36°C
$83 Vol.
3%
37°C
$32 Vol.
3%
38°C or higher
$319 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$1,410End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.**
Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Kuala Lumpur Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,410End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:05 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/my/sepang-district/WMKKResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Short-term forecast uncertainty around the seasonal average drives the tight clustering of implied probabilities near 32–34°C for Kuala Lumpur’s July 31 daily maximum.** Kuala Lumpur’s southwest monsoon climatology typically produces afternoon highs of 31–33°C, with the urban heat island and high humidity pushing readings toward the upper end on clearer days. Recent model guidance and the July 27 outcome of exactly 33°C illustrate how modest differences in morning cloud cover, timing of convective showers, or boundary-layer mixing can shift the peak by 1–2°C. Strengthening El Niño conditions have raised the regional temperature baseline and reduced rainfall likelihood, tilting the distribution slightly above the long-term July mean of ~33°C, yet the market’s near-even split between 33°C (29.5%) and 34°C (27.5%) reflects residual uncertainty in the final 48-hour convective evolution. Official short-range updates from MetMalaysia and global ensembles will determine whether the peak settles in the lower or upper half of the narrow 32–34°C window.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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