Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedHighest temperature in Busan on July 31?
Highest temperature in Busan on July 31?
38°C 39%
37°C 23%
39°C 22%
40°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
34°C or below
1%
35°C
3%
36°C
4%
37°C
23%
38°C
39%
39°C
22%
40°C
10%
41°C
6%
42°C
3%
43°C
2%
44°C or higher
2%
38°C 39%
37°C 23%
39°C 22%
40°C 10%
NEW
NEW
Jul 31, 2026
34°C or below
$17 Vol.
1%
35°C
$27 Vol.
3%
36°C
$81 Vol.
4%
37°C
$206 Vol.
23%
38°C
$1,008 Vol.
39%
39°C
$88 Vol.
22%
40°C
$303 Vol.
10%
41°C
$192 Vol.
6%
42°C
$10 Vol.
3%
43°C
$10 Vol.
2%
44°C or higher
$10 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Volume
$1,952End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 31 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$1,952End Date
Jul 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 12:04 AM ETResolution Source
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from regional models point to a late-July heat surge in Busan driven by a strong subtropical high and southerly advection of warm, moist air from the East China Sea, pushing daytime maxima toward 37–40 °C on July 31. Coastal sea breezes and marine-layer moderation typically cap extremes, yet weak winds, urban heat-island effects, and limited cloud cover could allow brief spikes above 38 °C. Historical July averages near 29–30 °C underscore the anomaly, while ensemble spread and possible afternoon convection introduce uncertainty between the tightly matched 37 °C, 38 °C, and 39 °C outcomes. Updated guidance from the Korea Meteorological Administration and next model runs will refine peak timing and any rainfall suppression ahead of resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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