Skip to main content
icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
Economy·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026

icon for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026
Economy·Consumer

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026

Aug 28

Aug 28

55.0–57.9 26%

52.0–54.9 25%

58.0–60.9 17%

49.0–51.9 15%

Polymarket
NEW

55.0–57.9 26%

52.0–54.9 25%

58.0–60.9 17%

49.0–51.9 15%

Polymarket
NEW

<49.0

$97 Vol.

13%

49.0–51.9

$94 Vol.

15%

52.0–54.9

$1,618 Vol.

25%

55.0–57.9

$933 Vol.

26%

58.0–60.9

$196 Vol.

17%

61.0–63.9

$50 Vol.

9%

64.0+

$143 Vol.

4%

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data, revised to 55.2, showed broad-based gains across demographics amid modestly lower energy prices following earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. Traders price the August preliminary release near evenly between the 52.0–54.9 and 61.0–63.9 ranges because persistent high-price concerns and a softening labor market—evident in Conference Board readings—could offset momentum, while any further cooling in gasoline costs or stable CPI trajectory might support further gains. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of the August 14 release, underscoring sensitivity to incoming inflation and employment signals that shape consumer outlooks.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,132
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.Recent July University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment data, revised to 55.2, showed broad-based gains across demographics amid modestly lower energy prices following earlier geopolitical pressures, with year-ahead inflation expectations easing to 4.2%. Traders price the August preliminary release near evenly between the 52.0–54.9 and 61.0–63.9 ranges because persistent high-price concerns and a softening labor market—evident in Conference Board readings—could offset momentum, while any further cooling in gasoline costs or stable CPI trajectory might support further gains. Market-implied odds reflect aggregated positioning ahead of the August 14 release, underscoring sensitivity to incoming inflation and employment signals that shape consumer outlooks.

This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers.

This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release.

The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.

Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered.

Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.

If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.
Volume
$3,132
End Date
Aug 28, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 6:16 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a market about the University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS) for August 2026, as reported by the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers. This market will resolve to the bracket containing the final University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment for August 2026, as reported in the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release. The resolution source for this market will be the University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers final release for August 2026 (https://data.sca.isr.umich.edu/), currently scheduled to be released on August 28, 2026, at 10:00 AM ET. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data. Note: This market resolves based only on the final results for the specified month; preliminary results will not be considered. Note: University of Michigan Index of Consumer Sentiment is reported to one decimal point (e.g., 44.8). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. If the University of Michigan does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until the scheduled release time of the next Surveys of Consumers report. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve according to the figures of the most recent previous month with available data.

Related

icon for Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in August?

Will ISM Services PMI be at least 58.0 in August?

28%
icon for Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 55.0 and 55.9 in August?

30%
icon for Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?

Will PPI YoY be 5.1% or less in July?

61%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 7 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "55.0–57.9" at 26%, followed by "52.0–54.9" at 25%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 26¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 4, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026," browse the 7 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" is "55.0–57.9" at 26%, meaning the market assigns a 26% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "52.0–54.9" at 25%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - August 2026" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.