Trader consensus on the USD-Iranian rial rate at end-August centers on uncertainty over sanctions enforcement, Iranian oil export volumes, and any diplomatic signals from nuclear talks or regional tensions. Recent shifts in global energy markets and enforcement actions by the US Treasury have kept the two leading ranges—2.0-2.1 million and 1.8-1.9 million rials per dollar—within a few points of each other. Iranian central bank interventions and domestic inflation trends add further volatility. A verifiable escalation in sanctions or a sudden drop in oil shipments could widen the gap toward stronger depreciation, while credible progress in negotiations or eased restrictions would likely support the lower-rate bins. Resolution depends on exchange-rate data published after August 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated2.0-2.1M 51%
2.1-2.2M 28%
1.9-2.0M 14%
<1.7M 14%
<1.7M
14%
1.7-1.8M
14%
1.8-1.9M
45%
1.9-2.0M
14%
2.0-2.1M
51%
2.1-2.2M
37%
2.2M+
14%
2.0-2.1M 51%
2.1-2.2M 28%
1.9-2.0M 14%
<1.7M 14%
<1.7M
14%
1.7-1.8M
14%
1.8-1.9M
45%
1.9-2.0M
14%
2.0-2.1M
51%
2.1-2.2M
37%
2.2M+
14%
If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Market Opened: Jul 29, 2026, 4:00 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the recorded data falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
This market will resolve according to the finalized free-market USD exchange rate for the specified date as displayed on Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd), which publishes prices in Iranian toman, where 1 Iranian toman equals 10 Iranian rials (IRR).
A daily figure will be considered finalized once the following day’s figure is released.
Resolution will occur once the specified exchange rate data point is finalized. If the relevant data is not finalized by the end of the 7th calendar day after the specified date (ET), this market will resolve according to the latest data available at that time. Revisions made after the relevant figure has been finalized will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be Bonbast (https://www.bonbast.com/graph/usd). If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on the USD-Iranian rial rate at end-August centers on uncertainty over sanctions enforcement, Iranian oil export volumes, and any diplomatic signals from nuclear talks or regional tensions. Recent shifts in global energy markets and enforcement actions by the US Treasury have kept the two leading ranges—2.0-2.1 million and 1.8-1.9 million rials per dollar—within a few points of each other. Iranian central bank interventions and domestic inflation trends add further volatility. A verifiable escalation in sanctions or a sudden drop in oil shipments could widen the gap toward stronger depreciation, while credible progress in negotiations or eased restrictions would likely support the lower-rate bins. Resolution depends on exchange-rate data published after August 31.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions