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What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

What will be the top US Netflix show this week?

Aug 4

Aug 4

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 90.7%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 5.6%

The Hawk: Season 1 <1%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$22,402 Vol.

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 90.7%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 5.6%

The Hawk: Season 1 <1%

I Will Find You: Limited Series <1%

Polymarket
NEW

$22,402 Vol.

icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

$6,167 Vol.

91%

icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$11,806 Vol.

6%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$921 Vol.

<1%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$861 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$843 Vol.

<1%

icon for Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

$861 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elite Force: Season 1

Elite Force: Season 1

$165 Vol.

<1%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$338 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

$165 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hannibal: Season 1

Hannibal: Season 1

$276 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple new and returning Netflix titles remain locked in an unusually tight race for the top US spot this week, with market-implied odds clustered near 50 percent across Little House on the Prairie Season 1, limited series such as The Idaho Murders and The Bombing of Pan Am 103, and returning seasons including Ransom Canyon and The Ultimatum. This narrow spread reflects fluctuating weekly viewership numbers, strong debut performance from the July 9 Little House premiere, and steady engagement for established catalog entries. Daily chart updates, social buzz, and any late-week algorithmic boosts could quickly shift momentum before the period closes, underscoring how unpredictable audience behavior remains in a crowded slate.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$22,402
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Multiple new and returning Netflix titles remain locked in an unusually tight race for the top US spot this week, with market-implied odds clustered near 50 percent across Little House on the Prairie Season 1, limited series such as The Idaho Murders and The Bombing of Pan Am 103, and returning seasons including Ransom Canyon and The Ultimatum. This narrow spread reflects fluctuating weekly viewership numbers, strong debut performance from the July 9 Little House premiere, and steady engagement for established catalog entries. Daily chart updates, social buzz, and any late-week algorithmic boosts could quickly shift momentum before the period closes, underscoring how unpredictable audience behavior remains in a crowded slate.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$22,402
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 US Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for TV shows. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 91%, followed by "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 91¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" has generated $22.4K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 29, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 91%, meaning the market assigns a 91% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top US Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.