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icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

icon for What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

What will be the top global Netflix show this week?

Aug 4

Aug 4

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 96.5%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 3.4%

I Will Find You: Limited Series 1.8%

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare 96.5%

Ransom Canyon: Season 2 3.4%

I Will Find You: Limited Series 1.8%

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4 1.7%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare

$2,328 Vol.

97%

icon for Ransom Canyon: Season 2

Ransom Canyon: Season 2

$563 Vol.

3%

icon for I Will Find You: Limited Series

I Will Find You: Limited Series

$250 Vol.

2%

icon for The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

The Ultimatum: Marry or Move On: Season 4

$325 Vol.

2%

icon for The Hawk: Season 1

The Hawk: Season 1

$210 Vol.

2%

icon for My Daughter's Father: Season 1

My Daughter's Father: Season 1

$185 Vol.

1%

icon for Elite Force: Season 1

Elite Force: Season 1

$295 Vol.

<1%

icon for The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

The Bombing of Pan Am 103: Limited Series

$195 Vol.

<1%

icon for Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

Little House on the Prairie: Season 1

$175 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hannibal: Season 1

Hannibal: Season 1

$107 Vol.

<1%

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent premieres of buzzy titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2 and The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare have intensified competition for top global Netflix ranking this week, keeping multiple contenders—including limited series and returning seasons—at even market-implied odds near 50%. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around Netflix’s weekly viewership data, which can shift quickly based on completion rates, social buzz, and international performance. Key differentiators include true-crime appeal versus romantic drama momentum, plus any late-week chart updates or algorithmic pushes. Historical patterns show fresh releases often dominate early but face rapid challenges from established hits, leaving the outcome dependent on the next metrics drop.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,632
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".Recent premieres of buzzy titles like Ransom Canyon Season 2 and The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare have intensified competition for top global Netflix ranking this week, keeping multiple contenders—including limited series and returning seasons—at even market-implied odds near 50%. Trader sentiment reflects uncertainty around Netflix’s weekly viewership data, which can shift quickly based on completion rates, social buzz, and international performance. Key differentiators include true-crime appeal versus romantic drama momentum, plus any late-week chart updates or algorithmic pushes. Historical patterns show fresh releases often dominate early but face rapid challenges from established hits, leaving the outcome dependent on the next metrics drop.

Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically.

The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only).

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$4,632
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:11 PM ET
Netflix is expected to update its global Top 10 TV shows list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which show this update ranks as the #1 global Netflix show. If multiple shows tie for #1, this market will resolve according to the show whose listed title comes first alphabetically. The ranking is based on total views globally, as reported by Netflix for TV shows (English only). If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 97%, followed by "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" is "The Idaho Murders: College Nightmare" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the top global Netflix show this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.