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icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

icon for What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?

Aug 4

Aug 4

A Toxic Love Story 96%

72 Hours 2.8%

Elize: Shadows of a Woman 1.4%

Minions 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW

A Toxic Love Story 96%

72 Hours 2.8%

Elize: Shadows of a Woman 1.4%

Minions 1.4%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for A Toxic Love Story

A Toxic Love Story

$5,809 Vol.

96%

icon for 72 Hours

72 Hours

$20 Vol.

3%

icon for Elize: Shadows of a Woman

Elize: Shadows of a Woman

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for Minions

Minions

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for Sniper: No Nation

Sniper: No Nation

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for KPop Demon Hunters

KPop Demon Hunters

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for A Quiet Place: Day One

A Quiet Place: Day One

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for Voicemails for Isabelle

Voicemails for Isabelle

$95 Vol.

1%

icon for Furious 7

Furious 7

$20 Vol.

1%

icon for Ordinary Angels

Ordinary Angels

$20 Vol.

1%

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The market reflects a tightly contested race for Netflix’s #2 US movie slot this week, with several titles clustered near even odds amid volatile daily viewership swings. Recent charts show 72 Hours holding the top spot while A Toxic Love Story, Ordinary Angels, Elize: Shadows of a Woman, and Sniper: No Nation trade positions in the upper ranks, driven by comparable streaming hours, genre appeal in thrillers and dramas, and staggered release timing. Differentiating factors include sustained audience retention for newer originals versus library momentum for titles like A Quiet Place: Day One, plus any late-week promotional pushes or social buzz that could tip engagement. Final tracking days and weekend viewing patterns remain the key swing variables before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,064
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".The market reflects a tightly contested race for Netflix’s #2 US movie slot this week, with several titles clustered near even odds amid volatile daily viewership swings. Recent charts show 72 Hours holding the top spot while A Toxic Love Story, Ordinary Angels, Elize: Shadows of a Woman, and Sniper: No Nation trade positions in the upper ranks, driven by comparable streaming hours, genre appeal in thrillers and dramas, and staggered release timing. Differentiating factors include sustained audience retention for newer originals versus library momentum for titles like A Quiet Place: Day One, plus any late-week promotional pushes or social buzz that could tip engagement. Final tracking days and weekend viewing patterns remain the key swing variables before the weekly close.

Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday).

This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies.

If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$6,064
End Date
Aug 4, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 29, 2026, 8:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Netflix is expected to update its Top 10 movies list on top10.netflix.com on Tuesday, August 4, 2026, 3:00 PM ET, reflecting viewership from the previous week (Monday to Sunday). This market will resolve based on which movie this update ranks as the #2 US Netflix movie. Movies will be primarily ranked by chart ranking. If two or more movies are tied on chart ranking, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the movies' listed titles. This market will resolve to the movie that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. The ranking is based on total views in the United States, as reported by Netflix for US Top 10 Movies. If the top10.netflix.com update does not occur by August 7, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

Related

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Will "72 Hours" be the top US Netflix movie this week?

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icon for Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

Will "A Toxic Love Story" be the #2 global Netflix movie this week?

92%
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Will "Ransom Canyon: Season 2" be the #2 US Netflix show this week?

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Frequently Asked Questions

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 10 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A Toxic Love Story" at 96%, followed by "72 Hours" at 3%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 96¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 29, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?," browse the 10 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" is "A Toxic Love Story" at 96%, meaning the market assigns a 96% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "72 Hours" at 3%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "What will be the #2 US Netflix movie this week?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.