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icon for Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

icon for Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Sinaloa Governor Election Winner

Mario Zamora Gastélum 35%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez 34%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández 34%

María Fernanda Rivera 34%

Polymarket
NEW

Mario Zamora Gastélum 35%

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez 34%

Jesús Fernando García Hernández 34%

María Fernanda Rivera 34%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Mario Zamora Gastélum

Mario Zamora Gastélum

$53 Vol.

35%

icon for Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez

$53 Vol.

34%

icon for Jesús Fernando García Hernández

Jesús Fernando García Hernández

$53 Vol.

34%

icon for María Fernanda Rivera

María Fernanda Rivera

$53 Vol.

34%

icon for Roxana Rubio Valdez

Roxana Rubio Valdez

$53 Vol.

32%

icon for Paloma Sánchez Ramos

Paloma Sánchez Ramos

$53 Vol.

30%

icon for Ricardo Madrid Pérez

Ricardo Madrid Pérez

$53 Vol.

28%

icon for Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

Lucila Ayala de Moreschi

$53 Vol.

28%

icon for Imelda Castro Castro

Imelda Castro Castro

$53 Vol.

27%

icon for María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

María Teresa Guerra Ochoa

$53 Vol.

27%

icon for Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

Kristiam Alexis Espinoza García

$53 Vol.

27%

icon for Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

Eduardo Ortiz Hernández

$53 Vol.

26%

icon for Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

Tomás de Jesús López Bajo

$53 Vol.

25%

icon for Sergio Torres Félix

Sergio Torres Félix

$53 Vol.

19%

icon for Omar López Campos

Omar López Campos

$53 Vol.

14%

icon for Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

Gerardo Octavio Vargas Landeros

$53 Vol.

11%

icon for Graciela Domínguez Nava

Graciela Domínguez Nava

$53 Vol.

10%

icon for Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

Guillermo Romero Rodríguez

$53 Vol.

8%

icon for Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

Jesús Alfonso Ibarra Ramos

$53 Vol.

33%

icon for Estrella Palacios Domínguez

Estrella Palacios Domínguez

$53 Vol.

34%

icon for Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

Juan de Dios Gámez Mendívil

$53 Vol.

28%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Sinaloa’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probabilities amid an early nomination phase. Security challenges tied to organized crime and cartel violence dominate campaign discourse, influencing voter priorities in this key Pacific state. Multiple aspirants from Morena and opposition parties are still positioning themselves ahead of internal selection processes, sustaining close odds across listed contenders. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final nominees and shifting alliances. Clear separation could emerge from official party endorsements, new state-level polling, or major security developments within the resolution window.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,120
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.Sinaloa’s 2027 gubernatorial contest remains highly fragmented, with no candidate exceeding low-30s implied probabilities amid an early nomination phase. Security challenges tied to organized crime and cartel violence dominate campaign discourse, influencing voter priorities in this key Pacific state. Multiple aspirants from Morena and opposition parties are still positioning themselves ahead of internal selection processes, sustaining close odds across listed contenders. Trader consensus reflects uncertainty over final nominees and shifting alliances. Clear separation could emerge from official party endorsements, new state-level polling, or major security developments within the resolution window.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$1,120
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:59 AM ET
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sinaloa on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sinaloa gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sinaloa and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sinaloa and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Mario Zamora Gastélum" at 35%, followed by "Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez" at 34%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 35¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" is "Mario Zamora Gastélum" at 35%, meaning the market assigns a 35% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Rodolfo Valenzuela Sánchez" at 34%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sinaloa Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.