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Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

icon for Michoacán Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Michoacán Governor Election Winner

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 43%

Edna Martínez Nambo 32%

Marko Cortés Mendoza 30%

Carlos Herrera Tello 30%

Polymarket
NEW

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar 43%

Edna Martínez Nambo 32%

Marko Cortés Mendoza 30%

Carlos Herrera Tello 30%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

Alfonso Martínez Alcázar

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Edna Martínez Nambo

Edna Martínez Nambo

$0 Vol.

32%

icon for Marko Cortés Mendoza

Marko Cortés Mendoza

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Carlos Herrera Tello

Carlos Herrera Tello

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Víctor Manuel Manríquez

Víctor Manuel Manríquez

$0 Vol.

30%

icon for Raúl Morón Orozco

Raúl Morón Orozco

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Carlos Torres Piña

Carlos Torres Piña

$0 Vol.

29%

icon for Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

Ernesto Núñez Aguilar

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Esteban González Nava

Esteban González Nava

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

Adriana Hernández Íñiguez

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

Leinad Abigail Rojas Elenes

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Daniela de los Santos

Daniela de los Santos

$0 Vol.

8%

icon for Fabiola Alanís Sámano

Fabiola Alanís Sámano

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Gabriela Molina Aguilar

Gabriela Molina Aguilar

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Gladyz Butanda Macías

Gladyz Butanda Macías

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Celeste Ascencio Ortega

Celeste Ascencio Ortega

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

Ana Lilia Guillén Quiroz

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

Netzahualcóyotl Alarcón Pedraza

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

Netzahualcóyotl Alanís Luna

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Germán Martínez Cázares

Germán Martínez Cázares

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Guillermo Valencia Reyes

Guillermo Valencia Reyes

$0 Vol.

7%

icon for Grecia Quiroz

Grecia Quiroz

$0 Vol.

7%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.With the Michoacán gubernatorial election still more than a year away, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no aspirant exceeds 43% implied probability. Recent June and July 2026 surveys show Morena holding a narrow party-level edge near 32%, followed by independents and PAN, yet individual preferences remain split among figures such as Raúl Morón Orozco, Carlos Torres Piña, Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Grecia Quiroz, and several others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Internal party polling reveals substantial “none” responses and competing local profiles, while the viability of independent bids further disperses support. Primary nominations, major endorsements, and updated statewide surveys closer to 2027 could consolidate backing and shift probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.With the Michoacán gubernatorial election still more than a year away, trader consensus reflects a highly fragmented field where no aspirant exceeds 43% implied probability. Recent June and July 2026 surveys show Morena holding a narrow party-level edge near 32%, followed by independents and PAN, yet individual preferences remain split among figures such as Raúl Morón Orozco, Carlos Torres Piña, Alfonso Martínez Alcázar, Grecia Quiroz, and several others in the low-to-mid teens or below. Internal party polling reveals substantial “none” responses and competing local profiles, while the viability of independent bids further disperses support. Primary nominations, major endorsements, and updated statewide surveys closer to 2027 could consolidate backing and shift probabilities.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$0
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 5:09 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Michoacán on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Michoacán gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Michoacán and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Michoacán and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 22 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 43%, followed by "Edna Martínez Nambo" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 43¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 6, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Michoacán Governor Election Winner," browse the 22 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" is "Alfonso Martínez Alcázar" at 43%, meaning the market assigns a 43% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Edna Martínez Nambo" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Michoacán Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.