The Guerrero gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a fragmented field, with Félix Salgado Macedonio holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid trader positioning, followed closely by Héctor Astudillo Flores and a long list of lower-priced contenders. Internal Morena nomination surveys, eligibility considerations, and potential opposition coalitions keep the race competitive, as no single candidate has consolidated support. Security conditions, state economic pressures, and party alliance negotiations remain key variables that could shift probabilities once primaries conclude or major endorsements emerge ahead of the June 2027 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedErika Lorena Lührs 31.7%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 27%
Esthela Damián Peralta 26%
Yesenia Galarza Castro 25%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
Erika Lorena Lührs
29%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
27%
Esthela Damián Peralta
26%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
25%
Mario Moreno Arcos
24%
Iván Hernández Díaz
21%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
21%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
18%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
16%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
14%
Julián López Galeana
14%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
14%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
13%
Abelina López Rodríguez
12%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
11%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
11%
Carlos Reyes Torres
28%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
9%
Alberto López Rosas
9%
Manuel Añorve Baños
8%
Rubén Cayetano García
7%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
6%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
26%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
19%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
25%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
15%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
14%
Erika Lorena Lührs 31.7%
Héctor Astudillo Flores 27%
Esthela Damián Peralta 26%
Yesenia Galarza Castro 25%
NEW
NEW
Jun 6, 2027
Erika Lorena Lührs
$95 Vol.
29%
Héctor Astudillo Flores
$75 Vol.
27%
Esthela Damián Peralta
$75 Vol.
26%
Yesenia Galarza Castro
$75 Vol.
25%
Mario Moreno Arcos
$75 Vol.
24%
Iván Hernández Díaz
$75 Vol.
21%
Genaro Vázquez Flores
$75 Vol.
21%
Zeferino Gómez Valdovinos
$75 Vol.
18%
Norma Otilia Hernández Martínez
$95 Vol.
16%
Gabriela Bernal Reséndiz
$80 Vol.
14%
Julián López Galeana
$75 Vol.
14%
Marcial Rodríguez Saldaña
$75 Vol.
14%
Eloy Salmerón Díaz
$75 Vol.
13%
Abelina López Rodríguez
$95 Vol.
12%
Javier Saldaña Almazán
$75 Vol.
11%
Rogelio Ortega Martínez
$95 Vol.
11%
Carlos Reyes Torres
$98 Vol.
28%
Beatriz Mojica Morga
$75 Vol.
9%
Alberto López Rosas
$75 Vol.
9%
Manuel Añorve Baños
$75 Vol.
8%
Rubén Cayetano García
$75 Vol.
7%
Alejandro Bravo Abarca
$80 Vol.
6%
Pablo Amílcar Sandoval Ballesteros
$75 Vol.
26%
Gustavo Alarcón Herrera
$75 Vol.
19%
Evodio Velázquez Aguirre
$75 Vol.
25%
Guadalupe Eguiluz
$80 Vol.
15%
Félix Salgado Macedonio
$64 Vol.
1%
Karen Castrejón Trujillo
$75 Vol.
14%
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Guerrero gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a fragmented field, with Félix Salgado Macedonio holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid trader positioning, followed closely by Héctor Astudillo Flores and a long list of lower-priced contenders. Internal Morena nomination surveys, eligibility considerations, and potential opposition coalitions keep the race competitive, as no single candidate has consolidated support. Security conditions, state economic pressures, and party alliance negotiations remain key variables that could shift probabilities once primaries conclude or major endorsements emerge ahead of the June 2027 election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ET
Volume
$2,204End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Guerrero gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a fragmented field, with Félix Salgado Macedonio holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid trader positioning, followed closely by Héctor Astudillo Flores and a long list of lower-priced contenders. Internal Morena nomination surveys, eligibility considerations, and potential opposition coalitions keep the race competitive, as no single candidate has consolidated support. Security conditions, state economic pressures, and party alliance negotiations remain key variables that could shift probabilities once primaries conclude or major endorsements emerge ahead of the June 2027 election.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Guerrero on June 6, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Guerrero gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.
If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Guerrero and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Guerrero and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$2,204End Date
Jun 6, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Guerrero gubernatorial contest for 2027 shows a fragmented field, with Félix Salgado Macedonio holding the highest implied probability at 35.5% amid trader positioning, followed closely by Héctor Astudillo Flores and a long list of lower-priced contenders. Internal Morena nomination surveys, eligibility considerations, and potential opposition coalitions keep the race competitive, as no single candidate has consolidated support. Security conditions, state economic pressures, and party alliance negotiations remain key variables that could shift probabilities once primaries conclude or major endorsements emerge ahead of the June 2027 election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions