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Politics·Mexico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

icon for Sonora Governor Election Winner
Politics·Mexico

Sonora Governor Election Winner

Guadalupe María Soto 32%

Omar del Valle Colosio 32%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva 31%

Víctor Hugo Celaya 30%

Polymarket
NEW

Guadalupe María Soto 32%

Omar del Valle Colosio 32%

Natalia Rivera Grijalva 31%

Víctor Hugo Celaya 30%

Polymarket
NEW
icon for Guadalupe María Soto

Guadalupe María Soto

$34 Vol.

32%

icon for Omar del Valle Colosio

Omar del Valle Colosio

$34 Vol.

32%

icon for Natalia Rivera Grijalva

Natalia Rivera Grijalva

$34 Vol.

31%

icon for Víctor Hugo Celaya

Víctor Hugo Celaya

$34 Vol.

30%

icon for Javier Lamarque Cano

Javier Lamarque Cano

$34 Vol.

30%

icon for Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

Heriberto Aguilar Castillo

$34 Vol.

28%

icon for Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

Sylvana Beltrones Sánchez

$34 Vol.

28%

icon for Froylán Gámez Gamboa

Froylán Gámez Gamboa

$34 Vol.

27%

icon for Lorenia Valles Sampedro

Lorenia Valles Sampedro

$34 Vol.

27%

icon for Manuel Scott Sánchez

Manuel Scott Sánchez

$34 Vol.

26%

icon for María Dolores del Río Sánchez

María Dolores del Río Sánchez

$34 Vol.

26%

icon for Rogelio Díaz Brown

Rogelio Díaz Brown

$34 Vol.

26%

icon for Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

Célida Teresa López Cárdenas

$34 Vol.

25%

icon for Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

Antonio Astiazarán Gutiérrez

$34 Vol.

25%

icon for Damián Zepeda Vidales

Damián Zepeda Vidales

$34 Vol.

25%

icon for Ernesto Gándara Camou

Ernesto Gándara Camou

$34 Vol.

25%

icon for Patricia Mercado Castro

Patricia Mercado Castro

$34 Vol.

23%

icon for Lilly Téllez García

Lilly Téllez García

$34 Vol.

23%

icon for Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

Luis Donaldo Colosio Riojas

$34 Vol.

22%

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Sonora 2027 gubernatorial race stays tightly contested in trader pricing, with leading candidates clustered between 30-34% implied probability amid a crowded field of Morena party contenders. Internal party polls and early positioning have kept several figures competitive without a clear frontrunner emerging, as no major endorsements, scandals, or policy shifts have shifted momentum in recent weeks. Factors such as coalition negotiations, primary vote thresholds, and regional turnout patterns continue to support the even distribution, while potential separation could arise from upcoming candidate announcements, national party directives, or shifts in Sonora's key voting blocs before the 2027 ballot.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$646
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.The Sonora 2027 gubernatorial race stays tightly contested in trader pricing, with leading candidates clustered between 30-34% implied probability amid a crowded field of Morena party contenders. Internal party polls and early positioning have kept several figures competitive without a clear frontrunner emerging, as no major endorsements, scandals, or policy shifts have shifted momentum in recent weeks. Factors such as coalition negotiations, primary vote thresholds, and regional turnout patterns continue to support the even distribution, while potential separation could arise from upcoming candidate announcements, national party directives, or shifts in Sonora's key voting blocs before the 2027 ballot.

Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify.

If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.
Volume
$646
End Date
Jun 6, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 6:49 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Sonora on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2027 Sonora gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Sonora and Mexico, including the Electoral Institute of Sonora and the National Electoral Institute of Mexico.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Sonora Governor Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 19 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Guadalupe María Soto" at 33%, followed by "Omar del Valle Colosio" at 32%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Sonora Governor Election Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 5, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Sonora Governor Election Winner," browse the 19 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Sonora Governor Election Winner" is "Guadalupe María Soto" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Omar del Valle Colosio" at 32%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Sonora Governor Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.