Nvidia currently trades near a $5.3 trillion market cap amid sustained data center demand for its GPUs. Traders favor the $5.5–6.0 trillion band at 37% because fiscal 2026 results showed 65% full-year revenue growth to $215.9 billion, driven by record quarterly data center sales, while recent partnerships such as SpaceX and continued Blackwell deployment support further near-term gains. Blackwell-to-Rubin transitions and analyst price targets around $300 imply room for upside before year-end, though volatility from competition, supply constraints, and macro factors keeps the $4.0–4.5 trillion and $6.0–6.5 trillion ranges as meaningful alternatives at 25% and 24%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
Nvidia’s Market Cap end of 2026?
$5.50-$6.00T 33%
$4.50-$5.00T 22%
$6.50T+ 18%
$4.00-$4.50T 17%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
17%
$4.50-$5.00T
22%
$5.00-$5.50T
8%
$5.50-$6.00T
33%
$6.00-$6.50T
17%
$6.50T+
18%
$5.50-$6.00T 33%
$4.50-$5.00T 22%
$6.50T+ 18%
$4.00-$4.50T 17%
NEW
NEW
Dec 31, 2026
<$4.00T
$108 Vol.
11%
$4.00-$4.50T
$170 Vol.
17%
$4.50-$5.00T
$132 Vol.
22%
$5.00-$5.50T
$40 Vol.
8%
$5.50-$6.00T
$186 Vol.
33%
$6.00-$6.50T
$112 Vol.
17%
$6.50T+
$60 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia currently trades near a $5.3 trillion market cap amid sustained data center demand for its GPUs. Traders favor the $5.5–6.0 trillion band at 37% because fiscal 2026 results showed 65% full-year revenue growth to $215.9 billion, driven by record quarterly data center sales, while recent partnerships such as SpaceX and continued Blackwell deployment support further near-term gains. Blackwell-to-Rubin transitions and analyst price targets around $300 imply room for upside before year-end, though volatility from competition, supply constraints, and macro factors keeps the $4.0–4.5 trillion and $6.0–6.5 trillion ranges as meaningful alternatives at 25% and 24%.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ET
Volume
$809End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Nvidia currently trades near a $5.3 trillion market cap amid sustained data center demand for its GPUs. Traders favor the $5.5–6.0 trillion band at 37% because fiscal 2026 results showed 65% full-year revenue growth to $215.9 billion, driven by record quarterly data center sales, while recent partnerships such as SpaceX and continued Blackwell deployment support further near-term gains. Blackwell-to-Rubin transitions and analyst price targets around $300 imply room for upside before year-end, though volatility from competition, supply constraints, and macro factors keeps the $4.0–4.5 trillion and $6.0–6.5 trillion ranges as meaningful alternatives at 25% and 24%.
This market will resolve according to Nvidia's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of 2026.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of 2026, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$809End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 7:54 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Nvidia currently trades near a $5.3 trillion market cap amid sustained data center demand for its GPUs. Traders favor the $5.5–6.0 trillion band at 37% because fiscal 2026 results showed 65% full-year revenue growth to $215.9 billion, driven by record quarterly data center sales, while recent partnerships such as SpaceX and continued Blackwell deployment support further near-term gains. Blackwell-to-Rubin transitions and analyst price targets around $300 imply room for upside before year-end, though volatility from competition, supply constraints, and macro factors keeps the $4.0–4.5 trillion and $6.0–6.5 trillion ranges as meaningful alternatives at 25% and 24%.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions