NVIDIA shares closed near $200.75 on July 31 amid continued strength in AI infrastructure spending, with data center revenue driving fiscal 2026 results above $215 billion. Traders are focused on the August 26 earnings release—expected to show EPS near $2.07—as the key catalyst before month-end resolution, given its potential to shift revenue guidance and valuation multiples. Recent volatility around $190–$210 levels reflects sector rotation and macro sensitivity to interest rates and tech capex trends, while analyst estimates and trading volume underscore the stock's sensitivity to Blackwell ramp progress. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether post-earnings momentum sustains the price above common strike thresholds amid elevated beta to broader equity indices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNEW
Aug 31, 2026
$140
50%
$150
50%
$160
50%
$170
50%
$180
50%
$190
50%
$200
50%
$210
50%
$220
50%
$230
50%
$240
50%
$250
50%
$260
50%
$0.00 Vol.
$140
$0 Vol.
50%
$150
$0 Vol.
50%
$160
$0 Vol.
50%
$170
$0 Vol.
50%
$180
$0 Vol.
50%
$190
$0 Vol.
50%
$200
$0 Vol.
50%
$210
$0 Vol.
50%
$220
$0 Vol.
50%
$230
$0 Vol.
50%
$240
$0 Vol.
50%
$250
$0 Vol.
50%
$260
$0 Vol.
50%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed near $200.75 on July 31 amid continued strength in AI infrastructure spending, with data center revenue driving fiscal 2026 results above $215 billion. Traders are focused on the August 26 earnings release—expected to show EPS near $2.07—as the key catalyst before month-end resolution, given its potential to shift revenue guidance and valuation multiples. Recent volatility around $190–$210 levels reflects sector rotation and macro sensitivity to interest rates and tech capex trends, while analyst estimates and trading volume underscore the stock's sensitivity to Blackwell ramp progress. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether post-earnings momentum sustains the price above common strike thresholds amid elevated beta to broader equity indices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ET
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.NVIDIA shares closed near $200.75 on July 31 amid continued strength in AI infrastructure spending, with data center revenue driving fiscal 2026 results above $215 billion. Traders are focused on the August 26 earnings release—expected to show EPS near $2.07—as the key catalyst before month-end resolution, given its potential to shift revenue guidance and valuation multiples. Recent volatility around $190–$210 levels reflects sector rotation and macro sensitivity to interest rates and tech capex trends, while analyst estimates and trading volume underscore the stock's sensitivity to Blackwell ramp progress. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether post-earnings momentum sustains the price above common strike thresholds amid elevated beta to broader equity indices.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Close price for NVIDIA (NVDA) on the final trading day of August 2026 is higher than the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
If the two specified prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve to "No".
Closing prices will be used exactly as published by Pyth, without rounding.
If NVIDIA (NVDA) does not trade at all during the regular session of the final trading day of the month, the market will resolve 50-50.
For a standard full trading session, the closing price refers to the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of regular trading hours on the primary exchange. If the relevant session is shortened (for example, due to a market-holiday schedule), the Pyth "Close" value of the 1-minute candle corresponding to the final minute of that shortened session will be used.
If the relevant day has no valid Pyth Close value for the 1-minute candle corresponding to the end of regular trading hours on the primary exchange, the market will use the last valid Pyth price achieved during the regular trading hours of the primary exchange as the effective closing price. If no valid Pyth price exists for that trading day due to a system outage, data failure, or other technical disruption, the official closing price published by the primary exchange on which the listed security trades will be used to determine the closing price for that day.
In the event of a stock split, reverse stock split, or similar corporate action affecting the listed security during the listed time frame, this market will resolve based on split-adjusted prices as displayed on Pyth. The target price will be adjusted proportionally to reflect any stock splits. Resolution will be based on the historical price data as shown on Pyth after any adjustments have been applied.
The resolution source for this market will be Pyth, specifically the "Close" values for the relevant 1-minute candle for NVIDIA (NVDA) available at https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSD.
Volume
$0End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Jul 31, 2026, 6:00 PM ETResolution Source
https://pythdata.app/explore/Equity.US.NVDA%2FUSDResolver
0x65070BE91...NVIDIA shares closed near $200.75 on July 31 amid continued strength in AI infrastructure spending, with data center revenue driving fiscal 2026 results above $215 billion. Traders are focused on the August 26 earnings release—expected to show EPS near $2.07—as the key catalyst before month-end resolution, given its potential to shift revenue guidance and valuation multiples. Recent volatility around $190–$210 levels reflects sector rotation and macro sensitivity to interest rates and tech capex trends, while analyst estimates and trading volume underscore the stock's sensitivity to Blackwell ramp progress. Market-implied odds will hinge on whether post-earnings momentum sustains the price above common strike thresholds amid elevated beta to broader equity indices.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions