Alphabet’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, alongside a one-time $98 billion equity gain boosting EPS to $9.11, reinforced AI-driven momentum and supported a current market capitalization near $4.43 trillion. Elevated full-year capex guidance of $195–205 billion, however, weighed on sentiment by raising concerns over margin pressure and returns on AI infrastructure. With no major catalysts scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion range aligns with prevailing share-price levels and recent post-earnings stability, while wider bands capture potential volatility from macro data or sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$4.00-$4.50T 45%
$6.00T+ 21.1%
$4.50-$5.00T 21%
$5.00-$5.50T 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
15%
$3.50-$4.00T
20%
$4.00-$4.50T
45%
$4.50-$5.00T
21%
$5.00-$5.50T
21%
$5.50-$6.00T
20%
$6.00T+
21%
$4.00-$4.50T 45%
$6.00T+ 21.1%
$4.50-$5.00T 21%
$5.00-$5.50T 21%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$3.50T
$20 Vol.
15%
$3.50-$4.00T
$20 Vol.
20%
$4.00-$4.50T
$997 Vol.
45%
$4.50-$5.00T
$905 Vol.
21%
$5.00-$5.50T
$0 Vol.
21%
$5.50-$6.00T
$0 Vol.
20%
$6.00T+
$0 Vol.
21%
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, alongside a one-time $98 billion equity gain boosting EPS to $9.11, reinforced AI-driven momentum and supported a current market capitalization near $4.43 trillion. Elevated full-year capex guidance of $195–205 billion, however, weighed on sentiment by raising concerns over margin pressure and returns on AI infrastructure. With no major catalysts scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion range aligns with prevailing share-price levels and recent post-earnings stability, while wider bands capture potential volatility from macro data or sector rotation.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$1,943End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Alphabet’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, alongside a one-time $98 billion equity gain boosting EPS to $9.11, reinforced AI-driven momentum and supported a current market capitalization near $4.43 trillion. Elevated full-year capex guidance of $195–205 billion, however, weighed on sentiment by raising concerns over margin pressure and returns on AI infrastructure. With no major catalysts scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion range aligns with prevailing share-price levels and recent post-earnings stability, while wider bands capture potential volatility from macro data or sector rotation.
This market will resolve according to Alphabet's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$1,943End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Alphabet’s Q2 2026 results, featuring 24% revenue growth to $119.8 billion and 82% Google Cloud expansion, alongside a one-time $98 billion equity gain boosting EPS to $9.11, reinforced AI-driven momentum and supported a current market capitalization near $4.43 trillion. Elevated full-year capex guidance of $195–205 billion, however, weighed on sentiment by raising concerns over margin pressure and returns on AI infrastructure. With no major catalysts scheduled before month-end, trader consensus reflected in the 45.5% implied probability for the $4.00–4.50 trillion range aligns with prevailing share-price levels and recent post-earnings stability, while wider bands capture potential volatility from macro data or sector rotation.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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