Meta’s current ~$1.5T market cap reflects robust advertising revenue growth across Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp, which continues to offset elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at $130–145 billion for AI infrastructure. Traders see the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T bins as nearly even because the stock has stabilized near recent levels after July’s post-earnings selloff driven by higher AI spending. Key swing factors include any late-August updates on model releases such as Muse Spark iterations, advertiser sentiment amid ongoing legal overhangs, and whether efficiency gains from large language model investments begin to lift operating margins before month-end. Short-term volatility remains the dominant uncertainty given the compressed timeline to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated$1.25-$1.50T 46%
$1.50-$1.75T 39%
$1.00-$1.25T 5%
<$1.00T 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
46%
$1.50-$1.75T
39%
$1.75-$2.00T
3%
$2.00-$2.25T
3%
$2.25T+
2%
$1.25-$1.50T 46%
$1.50-$1.75T 39%
$1.00-$1.25T 5%
<$1.00T 3.5%
NEW
NEW
Aug 31, 2026
<$1.00T
$0 Vol.
3%
$1.00-$1.25T
$0 Vol.
5%
$1.25-$1.50T
$102 Vol.
46%
$1.50-$1.75T
$134 Vol.
39%
$1.75-$2.00T
$0 Vol.
3%
$2.00-$2.25T
$0 Vol.
3%
$2.25T+
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current ~$1.5T market cap reflects robust advertising revenue growth across Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp, which continues to offset elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at $130–145 billion for AI infrastructure. Traders see the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T bins as nearly even because the stock has stabilized near recent levels after July’s post-earnings selloff driven by higher AI spending. Key swing factors include any late-August updates on model releases such as Muse Spark iterations, advertiser sentiment amid ongoing legal overhangs, and whether efficiency gains from large language model investments begin to lift operating margins before month-end. Short-term volatility remains the dominant uncertainty given the compressed timeline to resolution.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Market Opened: Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ET
Volume
$236End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.Meta’s current ~$1.5T market cap reflects robust advertising revenue growth across Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp, which continues to offset elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at $130–145 billion for AI infrastructure. Traders see the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T bins as nearly even because the stock has stabilized near recent levels after July’s post-earnings selloff driven by higher AI spending. Key swing factors include any late-August updates on model releases such as Muse Spark iterations, advertiser sentiment amid ongoing legal overhangs, and whether efficiency gains from large language model investments begin to lift operating margins before month-end. Short-term volatility remains the dominant uncertainty given the compressed timeline to resolution.
This market will resolve according to Meta's public market capitalization at the close of regular trading on the final trading day of the specified month.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
If the determined value falls exactly on the boundary between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
Public market capitalization will be determined through appropriate calculation using the final official regular-hours closing prices published for the company's listed equities on its primary exchange for the last trading day of the specified month, multiplied by the company's total number of shares outstanding at the relevant time. If necessary, to accurately capture the company’s total market capitalization, rather than a stock-class-specific market capitalization, the calculation will include all outstanding share classes and apply any stated conversion ratios to the publicly traded class. Where no conversion right exists, such shares will be counted at their stated outstanding amount without discount, unless official filings explicitly specify differently. The number of outstanding shares will be determined from official company filings or disclosures (e.g., SEC filings).
If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies.
If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, the public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution.
The resolution source for this market is official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts.
Volume
$236End Date
Aug 31, 2026Market Opened
Aug 4, 2026, 8:26 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Meta’s current ~$1.5T market cap reflects robust advertising revenue growth across Instagram, Facebook, and WhatsApp, which continues to offset elevated 2026 capital expenditures now guided at $130–145 billion for AI infrastructure. Traders see the $1.25–1.50T and $1.50–1.75T bins as nearly even because the stock has stabilized near recent levels after July’s post-earnings selloff driven by higher AI spending. Key swing factors include any late-August updates on model releases such as Muse Spark iterations, advertiser sentiment amid ongoing legal overhangs, and whether efficiency gains from large language model investments begin to lift operating margins before month-end. Short-term volatility remains the dominant uncertainty given the compressed timeline to resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions